WALRUS / Tether
Long

WALUSDT — Breakout or Breakdown? Golden Pocket the Key!

81
Quick Context: Since May, price has formed a series of lower highs connected by a descending trendline (yellow). Beneath it lies a strong demand zone at 0.406–0.420, aligning with Fibonacci 0.5 (0.419) and 0.618 (0.407) — the golden pocket. Current price is around 0.435, pressing against the trendline and approaching the apex of the pattern.

Pattern & Key Levels

Main Pattern: Descending Triangle (downward-sloping top, relatively flat base/zone). Theoretically slightly bearish, but since it sits right on the golden pocket with compression, the probability of an impulsive breakout in either direction is high.

Major Demand / Support: 0.406–0.420 (golden pocket + base).

Immediate Resistance: descending trendline + 0.44–0.46 area.

Next resistance targets (yellow dashed lines): 0.484 → 0.542 → 0.674 → 0.732.

Downside supports if broken: 0.380 → 0.350 → 0.296.


Bullish Scenario

1. Confirmation: Daily close above the trendline and ideally > 0.460 (clear breakout confirmation).


2. Healthy Retest: Pullback to 0.44–0.46 / trendline, now acting as support.


3. Step Targets:

T1: 0.484

T2: 0.542

T3: 0.674

T4: 0.732



4. Bullish Invalidation: Daily close back below 0.420; strong invalidation if < 0.406 (loss of golden pocket).



Bearish Scenario

1. Rejection: Fails to break 0.44–0.46 / trendline and turns down.


2. Weakness Confirmation: Daily close below 0.406 (loss of base + golden pocket).


3. Downside Targets:

S1: 0.380

S2: 0.350

S3: 0.296



4. Bearish Invalidation: Daily close above 0.460 with a successful retest flips bias to bullish.



Execution Notes

Apex Break: The closer price gets to the apex, the higher the risk of false breaks — always wait for a daily close to confirm.

Volume: A valid breakout should be accompanied by increasing volume.

Risk Management: Place stops beyond the invalidation zones of your chosen scenario (below 0.406 for breakout longs; above 0.460 for rejection shorts).


> Summary: WALUSDT is being squeezed between the descending trendline and golden pocket 0.406–0.420. A daily close above 0.460 could open the path to 0.484/0.542, while a breakdown below 0.406 may trigger a drop towards 0.380–0.350.

Not financial advice; purely for educational and technical reference.

#WALUSDT #Walrus #CryptoTA #PriceAction #DescendingTriangle #Fibonacci #SupportResistance #Breakout #RiskManagement

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