Crude oil prices remain under pressure as easing geopolitical tensions between Iran and Israel reduce fears of supply disruptions in the Middle East. Adding to the bearish tone, the anticipated output increase by OPEC+—expected to raise August production by 411,000 bpd—acts as a supply-side headwind. Meanwhile, a modest rebound in the US Dollar from multi-year lows also weighs on oil demand, given its inverse relationship with USD-denominated commodities.
However, expectations that the Federal Reserve may soon resume rate cuts could limit USD upside, offering some support to oil prices. Traders are likely to stay cautious ahead of key US economic data, including Wednesday’s ADP report and Thursday’s Nonfarm Payrolls, which will shape Fed policy expectations. Additionally, the latest EIA stockpile data will be closely watched for immediate supply signals.
Conclusion:
WTI Crude Oil is likely to trade with a neutral-to-bearish bias in the near term, pressured by rising supply and a firmer dollar. However, Fed rate cut expectations and upcoming US labor and inventory data may help cushion the downside. Traders may remain on the sidelines until clearer direction emerges post-NFP and OPEC+ decisions.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 6925
Resistance Level 2: 7080
Resistance Level 3: 7230
Support Level 1: 6460
Support Level 2: 6300
Support Level 3: 6100
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
However, expectations that the Federal Reserve may soon resume rate cuts could limit USD upside, offering some support to oil prices. Traders are likely to stay cautious ahead of key US economic data, including Wednesday’s ADP report and Thursday’s Nonfarm Payrolls, which will shape Fed policy expectations. Additionally, the latest EIA stockpile data will be closely watched for immediate supply signals.
Conclusion:
WTI Crude Oil is likely to trade with a neutral-to-bearish bias in the near term, pressured by rising supply and a firmer dollar. However, Fed rate cut expectations and upcoming US labor and inventory data may help cushion the downside. Traders may remain on the sidelines until clearer direction emerges post-NFP and OPEC+ decisions.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 6925
Resistance Level 2: 7080
Resistance Level 3: 7230
Support Level 1: 6460
Support Level 2: 6300
Support Level 3: 6100
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
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The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.