Silver and US Dollar Correlation
Inverse Relationship
Silver and the US dollar (measured by the DXY index) have a strong inverse correlation. When the US dollar weakens, silver prices typically rise, and when the dollar strengthens, silver prices tend to fall. This relationship is rooted in silver being priced in dollars globally:
A stronger dollar makes silver more expensive for buyers using other currencies, reducing demand and putting downward pressure on prices.
A weaker dollar makes silver cheaper for foreign investors, boosting demand and driving prices higher.
Technical and Fundamental Factors
Key Technical Levels: A breakdown below critical DXY levels (like 99.50) is often seen as a trigger for rapid dollar devaluation, which can spark explosive upward moves in silver prices.
Safe-Haven Demand: Geopolitical tensions or economic uncertainty can also drive demand for silver as a safe-haven asset, sometimes amplifying the inverse correlation with the dollar.
Other Influences: While the inverse correlation is strong, silver prices are also affected by factors such as interest rates, inflation, industrial demand, and mining supply. At times, these factors can override the dollar’s influence, especially in the short term.
Historical and Statistical Context
Quarterly and annual data consistently show a negative correlation coefficient between silver and the DXY, though the strength of this correlation can vary depending on broader market conditions.
Summary Table
Dollar Trend Silver Price Impact
Dollar strengthens Silver usually falls
Dollar weakens Silver usually rises
In summary:
Silver prices generally move opposite to the US dollar. This inverse correlation is fundamental to the silver market and is closely watched by traders and investors. However, other macroeconomic and market-specific factors can sometimes temporarily weaken or override this relationship.
Inverse Relationship
Silver and the US dollar (measured by the DXY index) have a strong inverse correlation. When the US dollar weakens, silver prices typically rise, and when the dollar strengthens, silver prices tend to fall. This relationship is rooted in silver being priced in dollars globally:
A stronger dollar makes silver more expensive for buyers using other currencies, reducing demand and putting downward pressure on prices.
A weaker dollar makes silver cheaper for foreign investors, boosting demand and driving prices higher.
Technical and Fundamental Factors
Key Technical Levels: A breakdown below critical DXY levels (like 99.50) is often seen as a trigger for rapid dollar devaluation, which can spark explosive upward moves in silver prices.
Safe-Haven Demand: Geopolitical tensions or economic uncertainty can also drive demand for silver as a safe-haven asset, sometimes amplifying the inverse correlation with the dollar.
Other Influences: While the inverse correlation is strong, silver prices are also affected by factors such as interest rates, inflation, industrial demand, and mining supply. At times, these factors can override the dollar’s influence, especially in the short term.
Historical and Statistical Context
Quarterly and annual data consistently show a negative correlation coefficient between silver and the DXY, though the strength of this correlation can vary depending on broader market conditions.
Summary Table
Dollar Trend Silver Price Impact
Dollar strengthens Silver usually falls
Dollar weakens Silver usually rises
In summary:
Silver prices generally move opposite to the US dollar. This inverse correlation is fundamental to the silver market and is closely watched by traders and investors. However, other macroeconomic and market-specific factors can sometimes temporarily weaken or override this relationship.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.