Silver’s latest run ended abruptly on Monday, with the metal reversing hard, breaking its recent uptrend and forming a bearish evening star three-candle pattern. With RSI (14) and MACD momentum readings now neutral rather than bullish, the focus shifts to price action over holding a set bias.
If the signal from recent price action proves reliable—a big “if” with U.S. CPI looming—watch for a break beneath $37.46, the prior multi-decade high from February 2012. If that occurs, one option would be to establish shorts beneath the level with a stop above for protection, targeting support at either $36.27 or $35.50.
If silver fails to follow through on Monday’s reversal, the setup could be flipped, with longs established above the level and a stop beneath for protection. $38.50 or $38.73 screen as potential targets, with a break above the latter opening the door for a retest of the July 23 swing high at $39.53.
From a fundamental standpoint, the U.S. inflation report looms as Tuesday’s main volatility event. A monthly core reading of 0.4% or higher would likely create headwinds for riskier assets such as silver, curtailing Fed rate-cut pricing over the next year and strengthening the U.S. dollar. A core print below 0.3% could have the opposite effect, acting as a catalyst for a possible silver surge.
Good luck!
DS
If the signal from recent price action proves reliable—a big “if” with U.S. CPI looming—watch for a break beneath $37.46, the prior multi-decade high from February 2012. If that occurs, one option would be to establish shorts beneath the level with a stop above for protection, targeting support at either $36.27 or $35.50.
If silver fails to follow through on Monday’s reversal, the setup could be flipped, with longs established above the level and a stop beneath for protection. $38.50 or $38.73 screen as potential targets, with a break above the latter opening the door for a retest of the July 23 swing high at $39.53.
From a fundamental standpoint, the U.S. inflation report looms as Tuesday’s main volatility event. A monthly core reading of 0.4% or higher would likely create headwinds for riskier assets such as silver, curtailing Fed rate-cut pricing over the next year and strengthening the U.S. dollar. A core print below 0.3% could have the opposite effect, acting as a catalyst for a possible silver surge.
Good luck!
DS
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The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.