Gold Faces Resistance at 3,380–3,385: Downside Move Preferred

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Hello everyone,

Looking at the H4 chart of XAUUSD , gold is struggling to clear the heavy resistance zone between $3,380 and $3,385, which coincides with both a supply-based Fair Value Gap and the upper edge of the Kumo cloud. Price action here shows strong selling pressure, with short-bodied candles, long wicks, and muted volume, all of which suggest that buyers lack the conviction to push higher. Unless this zone is decisively broken, momentum points towards a short-term pullback, potentially dragging prices back to $3,355 and then $3,345.

From a macro perspective, today’s release of the US PCE inflation index will be critical. A stronger-than-expected print could reinforce expectations of tighter Fed policy, weighing on gold. Political uncertainty following President Trump’s move against a Fed governor adds another layer of volatility. Traders are now faced with a key question: does gold lose steam and retreat, or is a breakout towards $3,400–$3,425 still on the cards?

What do you think about this setup? Share your thoughts below!
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Note
The price has currently reached the 3400 level (the green zone I marked) and is showing signs of a reversal.

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