Gold (XAU/USD) Technical Analysis : Structural Analysis + Target

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Gold is currently trading near $3,292 on the 30-minute timeframe, showing classic signs of accumulation and compression within a well-respected descending channel. The current price action is approaching a critical decision zone, and the market is offering potential clues for both short-term and swing traders.

🔎 Detailed Breakdown of Chart Elements:
🔷 1. Descending Channel & Dynamic Support
Gold has been moving inside a falling channel, with price repeatedly reacting to both the upper and lower boundaries.

The lower boundary of the channel, currently acting as support, has been tested multiple times, suggesting a strong buying interest at this level.

This channel also aligns with the broader downtrend structure, giving sellers confidence while also creating interest for counter-trend buyers looking for reversal setups.

📐 2. Trendline Pressure and Compression
A downward sloping trendline, drawn from the recent swing highs, continues to apply bearish pressure.

Price is squeezing between the channel support and this descending trendline — a tight range compression, which often precedes a volatile breakout.

The analysis notes: “We have to wait for a trendline breakout” – this is a crucial technical signal that will determine the next move.

🚧 3. Break of Structure (BOS) Zones
Two potential bullish BOS (Break of Structure) levels have been identified:

Minor BOS (~$3,300):

A break above this level may signal short-term bullish intent and invalidate minor lower highs.

Early confirmation for buyers to enter with tight risk management.

Major BOS (~$3,310):

This is the key swing high which, if broken, would invalidate the current bearish structure and flip market sentiment bullish.

A strong bullish candle closing above this level could signal the start of a larger upward leg.

📍 4. Next Reversal Zone (Supply Area: $3,320 – $3,330)
This zone represents a strong supply area where previous price action saw heavy selling.

If bulls manage to clear the BOS zones, this area becomes the next target/resistance.

Price reaching this level could lead to a pullback, making it an ideal area for partial take-profits or reassessment of continuation trades.

📈 5. Scenario Planning & Strategy
✅ Bullish Bias (If Breakout Occurs):
Wait for a confirmed breakout above the trendline and Minor BOS with volume.

Ideal long entry would be on the retest of the trendline (now acting as support).

First target: Major BOS, then extend to the Reversal Zone.

Stop-loss can be placed below the channel support or latest swing low.

🚫 Bearish Continuation (If No Breakout):
If price fails to break above the trendline and continues to reject at resistance, sellers may look to short the retest of the trendline.

Targets can be set at the channel's lower boundary or previous lows.

Confirmation: Bearish engulfing patterns, rejection wicks, or divergence.

🧠 Technical Summary & Outlook
Gold is currently in a neutral to slightly bullish consolidation, showing early signs of demand at the bottom of the channel. The market is in "wait-and-watch" mode — traders should focus on the trendline breakout, which will serve as the trigger for directional bias.

The structure is clean, zones are well defined, and potential is high for both scalping and intraday setups. Traders are advised to stay patient and follow price action confirmation before entering trades.

📌 Key Levels to Watch:
Support Zone: $3,280 – $3,285 (Channel Base)

Trendline Resistance: ~$3,294–$3,296

Minor BOS: ~$3,300

Major BOS: ~$3,310

Reversal Zone (Supply): $3,320 – $3,330

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