7/1 Gold Analysis and PMI Data Trading Strategy

189
Good afternoon, everyone!

Gold has now entered a resistance zone, and on the 30-minute chart, a technical correction appears likely. This correction typically takes one of two forms:

A direct pullback from current levels;

A minor upward push before the pullback, intensifying the need for correction.

In most cases, the second scenario doesn’t result in a large move—unless it’s accompanied by strong news. Given this setup, today’s trading idea is to:

Start with a small short position near current resistance;

Add to the position if price pushes slightly higher, and patiently wait for a pullback. This strategy has shown over 80% historical success rate.

Key support levels to watch:

If the price rises before pulling back: 3321–3316

If the price drops directly: 3313–3306

On the 4-hour chart, the rebound is not yet complete, so if the pullback finds solid support, there’s still room for buy-side setups in line with the short-term trend.

⚠️ Important: U.S. PMI data will be released during the New York session. Strategy depends on pre-release price positioning:

If price remains below 3312, and the data is bullish → look for long setups.

If price is above 3323, wait for a post-data rally to sell into.

If the data is bearish → consider selling immediately.

Stay flexible, manage your positions wisely, and trade with discipline ahead of the U.S. session.

Disclaimer

The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.