🔍 FULL MULTI-TIMEFRAME TECHNICAL DESTRUCTION
Short below 3,348.80, SL 3,353.20, TP 3,343.00.
MM building trap around VWAP, expecting breakdown. Jewel trade = short. Avoid breakout long unless clear volume shows up.
1. PRICE ACTION ANALYSIS (ALL TIMEFRAMES)
Multiple Pin bars & inverted hammers at POC zone (3,350.55) = clear signs of order absorption & rejection.
Wicks into 3,352.20 zone got rejected = trap move during kill hour yesterday.
Inside bar formation in H1 = energy buildup, coiling for one-directional expansion.
2. RANGE BOUND ZONE
Market is stuck between:
Value Area High (VAH) → 3,352.20
Point of Control (POC) → 3,350.55
Value Area Low (VAL) → 3,346.80
This is your MM battlefield. They’ll fake the top or bottom.
3. VOLUME & DELTA INTELLIGENCE
Massive volume trapped near 3,350 — over 1.18M contracts, likely MM liquidity build.
Bullish delta spike without breakout = distribution confirmed.
Negative divergence on volume as price inches up = fading buyer pressure.
4. TREND STRUCTURE
Macro: Corrective rally inside a bear cycle.
Micro: Sideways drift with upward fakeouts.
This is distribution phase, not accumulation.
5. VWAP + VWAP Golden Zone
Daily VWAP: 3,350.00
Golden Zone VWAP: 3,352.20
Price is hugging this zone without commitment.
Classic Schabacker “congestion before collapse” setup.
6. MOMENTUM SNAPSHOT
RSI divergence + failing upward thrusts = buyers can’t push this shit higher.
Bears are slowly reloading near VWAP.
7. SUPPORT/RESISTANCE LEVELS
🔺 Resistance: 3,352.20 → VAH + VWAP + trap zone
🔻 Support: 3,346.80 → VAL + last buyer response
🔻 Hidden Bear Target: 3,343.00 → fair value rejection + unfinished auction zone
8. LIQUIDITY TRAPS / MM BAIT ZONES
Liquidity stack above 3,352.20 → bait to trap longs
Liquidity pockets at 3,344.80 – 3,346.00 → possible trap for late shorts
Market Makers will stab both sides before choosing a direction.
9. MARKET MAKER PSYCHOLOGY (Schabacker Style)
MMs:
Built liquidity around POC.
Faked breakout at VAH.
Absorbed breakout buyers, preparing to flush price down.
This is textbook “Congestion before Reversal” — Schabacker style.
Watch for the Kill Candle during 10:15–11:00 Cairo time.
⚖️ HEDGE PLAN (LONG & SHORT SETUPS)
🟢 LONG HEDGE SETUP (LOWER PROBABILITY)
Entry: 3,353.00 (Break above VAH + Hold)
Stop: 3,349.00
TP: 3,357.50
Probability: 35%
Justification: Only viable if VWAP breaks & holds with volume. Otherwise, it’s a trap.
🔴 SHORT SETUP (HIGHER PROBABILITY TRADE)
Entry: 3,348.80
Stop: 3,353.20
TP: 3,343.00
Probability: 85%
Justification: VWAP trap + absorption + bearish delta + exhaustion = imminent drop.
🎯 JEWEL TRADE OF THE DAY (CONFIRMED SETUP)
🔥 Sell Stop Order Below VAL Trap Zone
Type Entry Stop Loss Take Profit Confidence
🔴 Sell Stop 3,348.80 3,353.20 3,343.00 85%
Timing: Golden Hour (10:15 – 11:30 Cairo Time)
Watch for MM trap at VWAP → kill candle confirms.
💣 CONTINGENCY PLAN FOR STOP HUNTS
✅ Where Will MM Try to Stop-Hunt?
Above 3,352.20 = bull trap zone
Below 3,346.00 = bear trap zone
🧨 How to Exploit It?
If price wicks below 3,346.00 then rebounds with delta spike:
➕ Buy Stop @ 3,348.20
SL: 3,345.50
TP: 3,352.00
Classic Schabacker reversal from congestion low.
Short below 3,348.80, SL 3,353.20, TP 3,343.00.
MM building trap around VWAP, expecting breakdown. Jewel trade = short. Avoid breakout long unless clear volume shows up.
1. PRICE ACTION ANALYSIS (ALL TIMEFRAMES)
Multiple Pin bars & inverted hammers at POC zone (3,350.55) = clear signs of order absorption & rejection.
Wicks into 3,352.20 zone got rejected = trap move during kill hour yesterday.
Inside bar formation in H1 = energy buildup, coiling for one-directional expansion.
2. RANGE BOUND ZONE
Market is stuck between:
Value Area High (VAH) → 3,352.20
Point of Control (POC) → 3,350.55
Value Area Low (VAL) → 3,346.80
This is your MM battlefield. They’ll fake the top or bottom.
3. VOLUME & DELTA INTELLIGENCE
Massive volume trapped near 3,350 — over 1.18M contracts, likely MM liquidity build.
Bullish delta spike without breakout = distribution confirmed.
Negative divergence on volume as price inches up = fading buyer pressure.
4. TREND STRUCTURE
Macro: Corrective rally inside a bear cycle.
Micro: Sideways drift with upward fakeouts.
This is distribution phase, not accumulation.
5. VWAP + VWAP Golden Zone
Daily VWAP: 3,350.00
Golden Zone VWAP: 3,352.20
Price is hugging this zone without commitment.
Classic Schabacker “congestion before collapse” setup.
6. MOMENTUM SNAPSHOT
RSI divergence + failing upward thrusts = buyers can’t push this shit higher.
Bears are slowly reloading near VWAP.
7. SUPPORT/RESISTANCE LEVELS
🔺 Resistance: 3,352.20 → VAH + VWAP + trap zone
🔻 Support: 3,346.80 → VAL + last buyer response
🔻 Hidden Bear Target: 3,343.00 → fair value rejection + unfinished auction zone
8. LIQUIDITY TRAPS / MM BAIT ZONES
Liquidity stack above 3,352.20 → bait to trap longs
Liquidity pockets at 3,344.80 – 3,346.00 → possible trap for late shorts
Market Makers will stab both sides before choosing a direction.
9. MARKET MAKER PSYCHOLOGY (Schabacker Style)
MMs:
Built liquidity around POC.
Faked breakout at VAH.
Absorbed breakout buyers, preparing to flush price down.
This is textbook “Congestion before Reversal” — Schabacker style.
Watch for the Kill Candle during 10:15–11:00 Cairo time.
⚖️ HEDGE PLAN (LONG & SHORT SETUPS)
🟢 LONG HEDGE SETUP (LOWER PROBABILITY)
Entry: 3,353.00 (Break above VAH + Hold)
Stop: 3,349.00
TP: 3,357.50
Probability: 35%
Justification: Only viable if VWAP breaks & holds with volume. Otherwise, it’s a trap.
🔴 SHORT SETUP (HIGHER PROBABILITY TRADE)
Entry: 3,348.80
Stop: 3,353.20
TP: 3,343.00
Probability: 85%
Justification: VWAP trap + absorption + bearish delta + exhaustion = imminent drop.
🎯 JEWEL TRADE OF THE DAY (CONFIRMED SETUP)
🔥 Sell Stop Order Below VAL Trap Zone
Type Entry Stop Loss Take Profit Confidence
🔴 Sell Stop 3,348.80 3,353.20 3,343.00 85%
Timing: Golden Hour (10:15 – 11:30 Cairo Time)
Watch for MM trap at VWAP → kill candle confirms.
💣 CONTINGENCY PLAN FOR STOP HUNTS
✅ Where Will MM Try to Stop-Hunt?
Above 3,352.20 = bull trap zone
Below 3,346.00 = bear trap zone
🧨 How to Exploit It?
If price wicks below 3,346.00 then rebounds with delta spike:
➕ Buy Stop @ 3,348.20
SL: 3,345.50
TP: 3,352.00
Classic Schabacker reversal from congestion low.
لو عايز تبقى واحد من اللي بيفهموا في الدهب وبيكسبوا من السوق صح،
🎯 للدهب والفرص الحقيقية تابعنا من هنا:
For gold updates & smart trades 👇
t.me/GOLDontheNILE
You're welcome to join my Telegram channel
انضم وابقى من اللعيبة مش من الجمهور💰🔥
🎯 للدهب والفرص الحقيقية تابعنا من هنا:
For gold updates & smart trades 👇
t.me/GOLDontheNILE
You're welcome to join my Telegram channel
انضم وابقى من اللعيبة مش من الجمهور💰🔥
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
لو عايز تبقى واحد من اللي بيفهموا في الدهب وبيكسبوا من السوق صح،
🎯 للدهب والفرص الحقيقية تابعنا من هنا:
For gold updates & smart trades 👇
t.me/GOLDontheNILE
You're welcome to join my Telegram channel
انضم وابقى من اللعيبة مش من الجمهور💰🔥
🎯 للدهب والفرص الحقيقية تابعنا من هنا:
For gold updates & smart trades 👇
t.me/GOLDontheNILE
You're welcome to join my Telegram channel
انضم وابقى من اللعيبة مش من الجمهور💰🔥
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.