Sell-Side Breakdown for XAUUSD (Gold) on the 15-Minute chart

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🔻 Sell-Side Analysis – June 17, 2025

🧠 Context & Market Structure

Price rejected major resistance around 3415–3448 zone.

SL Hunt zone marked at mid-levels around 3400–3408, showing manipulation.

Current price: ~3397, after bouncing from the Daily Flip (support) at ~3388.



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📉 Bearish Case Setup

1. Distribution Pattern at the Top

The upper resistance zone has been tested multiple times without a breakout.

Clear sign of exhaustion, with possible Smart Money Distribution.


2. Lower High Formation

After breaking the short-term demand (green box), price formed a lower high near 3404–3405.

Bearish market structure forming.


3. Consolidation Breakdown Likely

Price is currently inside a small consolidation box (3393–3402).

Failure to break and hold above 3402 = bearish continuation.

Look for breakdown retests below 3393 to confirm.



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🔻 Sell Zones

Zone 1: 3402–3405 = good supply/retest area for shorts.

Zone 2: 3410–3413 = high-risk re-entry (SL hunt zone retest).



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🎯 Targets for Shorts

TP1: 3388 (Daily Flip)

TP2: 3373–3375 (next volume node and support block)

TP3: 3365 (if full breakdown with momentum)



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🛡️ Invalidation

Clean break and hold above 3405–3410 invalidates bearish bias short term.

If price reclaims SL Hunt zone and flips it, bullish continuation is likely.



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🔍 Volume + Order Flow Notes

Volume spikes around support zone hint at buyer absorption, not dominance.

Bullish bounce lacked follow-through = potential sign of weak buyers.

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