XAUUSD is moving inside a clear ascending channel, with the upper boundary acting as long-term resistance and the lower boundary providing dynamic support. Price has been respecting this channel, with multiple touches on both the upper and lower boundaries, reinforcing its structure. Recently, the price formed a double top near the upper boundary, a classic reversal signal suggesting bullish exhaustion.If the price continues to hold below this level, it could lead to further downside. The next major support is around 2,780, which aligns with a previous support level and also falls within the golden pocket on the Fibonacci retracement, making it a significant area for a potential reaction.
However, if the price reclaims the double-top region and pushes above recent highs, it would invalidate the bearish outlook and suggest another attempt to break the channel’s upper boundary. For now, the structure remains bearish, with 2,780 as the main downside target.
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