Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar
Long
Updated

DeGRAM | GOLD will retest the channel boundary

783
📊 Technical Analysis
● Fresh rejection at the blue resistance line (~3 435) pushed XAU back to the 3 355 mid-band, yet successive higher-lows (green arrows) keep price inside the May-origin rising channel.
● The pullback is probing 3 328-3 355 — confluence of the former flag roof and triangle top; holding this zone should launch another test of 3 400/3 435, with the channel crest targeting 3 500.

💡 Fundamental Analysis
● U-S S&P-Global PMIs softened, nudging 2-yr real yields to three-week lows, while cautious ECB rhetoric limits dollar gains — both supportive for gold.

Summary
Long 3 328-3 355; above that aims 3 400 ➜ 3 435, stretch 3 500. Invalidate on an H4 close below 3 293.

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snapshot
📊 Technical Analysis
● Fifth rebound from the May-origin channel base (24 Jul) preserves the sequence of higher-lows; price is probing 3 328-3 355 where the broken wedge roof meets the main up-trend.
● A descending flag is forming; a 4 h close above 3 400 validates the pattern and projects to the 3 435 pivot, with the channel crest pointing to 3 500.

💡 Fundamental Analysis
● FXStreet consensus sees US core-PCE cooling to 0.1 % m/m on 26 Jul, extending the fall in 2-yr real yields and weakening the dollar.
● Yahoo/Metals Focus note resilient Chinese jewellery offtake in July, cushioning any dips.

Summary
Long 3 328-3 355; sustained trade ≥3 400 targets 3 435 ▶ 3 500. Bull view void on an H4 close <3 293.

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