XAUUSD Following the Rate High. Will it really rebound??

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Gold (XAUUSD) despite the enormous volatility after the Fed Rate Decision yesterday (0.75% Rate Hike), held the 1653 Support. At the same time though it held and got rejected on the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line), which is the short-term Resistance.

Technically, the medium-term trend (as well as the long one) has been bearish within a Channel Down since the August 10 High. As long as its top is not breached, the short-term target is the bottom (Lower Lows trend-line), limited on the -0.236 Fibonacci extension (1616).

The recent Lower Lows though have been formed while the RSI on the 1D time-frame has been holding its Support Zone. The last time we saw that pattern was during the July 06 - July 21 Lower Lows. The RSI then bounced on its Support Zone and Gold rallied to its 0.618 Fibonacci level that was eventually the August 10 High.

As a result, we are willing to buy the break above the current Channel Down and target first the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) and the 0.618 Fib (1749) in extension.


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