After a powerful rally driven by geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, particularly the Israel–Iran conflict, gold is now entering a clear correction phase. This reflects a shift in market sentiment from “fear” to a “new normal,” as investor risk appetite recovers. In the short term, this transition is putting notable selling pressure on the precious metal.
However, underlying support factors should not be underestimated. Recent U.S. economic data continues to show weakness: manufacturing activity is slowing, new orders are declining, and supply constraints are tightening—clear signs of a stalling economy. This increases the likelihood that the Fed may not keep interest rates high for long, which would support gold in the medium term.
On the other hand, central bank demand—especially from China—remains a powerful force. Amid concerns over yuan depreciation and eroding confidence in the global financial system, gold is increasingly viewed as an irreplaceable safe-haven asset.
This current price decline should be seen as a technical correction, not a trend reversal. Traders should closely monitor key support zones for potential re-entry, as CPM Group still sees gold targeting $3,500/ounce in the next move.
However, underlying support factors should not be underestimated. Recent U.S. economic data continues to show weakness: manufacturing activity is slowing, new orders are declining, and supply constraints are tightening—clear signs of a stalling economy. This increases the likelihood that the Fed may not keep interest rates high for long, which would support gold in the medium term.
On the other hand, central bank demand—especially from China—remains a powerful force. Amid concerns over yuan depreciation and eroding confidence in the global financial system, gold is increasingly viewed as an irreplaceable safe-haven asset.
This current price decline should be seen as a technical correction, not a trend reversal. Traders should closely monitor key support zones for potential re-entry, as CPM Group still sees gold targeting $3,500/ounce in the next move.
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