Fed’s Interest Rate Outlook:
- Two senior Federal Reserve officials – New York Fed President John Williams and Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic – signaled that the Fed is unlikely to cut interest rates before September 2025.
- The Fed needs more time to assess the economic impact of new trade policies from the Trump administration.
- Trade tariffs and ongoing negotiations are creating major uncertainties, making it difficult for businesses and households to plan financially.
- The probability of a rate cut in June has dropped to just 10%, and expected rate cuts for 2025 have been revised down from four to only two.
Impact on Global Gold Prices:
✅ 1. Short-term – Downward Pressure:
Prolonged high interest rates → stronger US dollar → gold prices face downward pressure as gold yields no interest.
🔄 2. Medium-term – Mixed Outlook:
- If trade talks fail and tariffs increase, leading to economic and inflation risks → gold may benefit as a safe-haven asset.
- Conversely, if trade tensions ease and inflation stays under control, expectations for rate cuts will decline further → gold may continue facing selling pressure.
💡 Short-Term Trade Scenarios:
SELL XAU/USD Zone : 3249 - 3252
💰 TP : 3247 – 3242
🚨 SL $3257
BUY XAU/USD Zone: 3190
💰 TP : 3195 – 3200
🚨 SL $3185
- Two senior Federal Reserve officials – New York Fed President John Williams and Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic – signaled that the Fed is unlikely to cut interest rates before September 2025.
- The Fed needs more time to assess the economic impact of new trade policies from the Trump administration.
- Trade tariffs and ongoing negotiations are creating major uncertainties, making it difficult for businesses and households to plan financially.
- The probability of a rate cut in June has dropped to just 10%, and expected rate cuts for 2025 have been revised down from four to only two.
Impact on Global Gold Prices:
✅ 1. Short-term – Downward Pressure:
Prolonged high interest rates → stronger US dollar → gold prices face downward pressure as gold yields no interest.
🔄 2. Medium-term – Mixed Outlook:
- If trade talks fail and tariffs increase, leading to economic and inflation risks → gold may benefit as a safe-haven asset.
- Conversely, if trade tensions ease and inflation stays under control, expectations for rate cuts will decline further → gold may continue facing selling pressure.
💡 Short-Term Trade Scenarios:
SELL XAU/USD Zone : 3249 - 3252
💰 TP : 3247 – 3242
🚨 SL $3257
BUY XAU/USD Zone: 3190
💰 TP : 3195 – 3200
🚨 SL $3185
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📊 Forex | Gold | Crypto Market Insights & Signals
📰 Real-time news updates & expert analysis
📈 Daily Buy/Sell signals for investors
💡 Technical breakdowns & market outlooks
🔗 Join our free group: t.me/+DmS-dVFJMm40MDM9
📰 Real-time news updates & expert analysis
📈 Daily Buy/Sell signals for investors
💡 Technical breakdowns & market outlooks
🔗 Join our free group: t.me/+DmS-dVFJMm40MDM9
Related publications
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.