In this video, we dive deep into the gold market analysis for the week of July 7 to July 11, 2025. I break down everything you need to know from last week’s price action — including the surge to $3,360, the impact of the U.S. tax cut and spending bill, and the 2.2% weekly gain despite consolidation.
We also look ahead at what to expect this week, including:
📅 July 9 Trade Tariff Deadline
📉 Key U.S. labor data (Initial Jobless Claims)
🏦 Market sentiment around Fed rate cut speculation
📊 Strategic insights based on technical and macro confluence
👉 If you find this content valuable, don’t forget to Vote, Comment, and Subscribe for weekly market breakdowns.
💬 Drop your thoughts in the comments:
Do you think gold will break above $3,360 this week? Or are we gearing up for a deeper pullback?
Disclaimer:
Based on experience and what I see on the charts, this is my take. It’s not financial advice—always do your research and consult a licensed advisor before trading.
We also look ahead at what to expect this week, including:
📅 July 9 Trade Tariff Deadline
📉 Key U.S. labor data (Initial Jobless Claims)
🏦 Market sentiment around Fed rate cut speculation
📊 Strategic insights based on technical and macro confluence
👉 If you find this content valuable, don’t forget to Vote, Comment, and Subscribe for weekly market breakdowns.
💬 Drop your thoughts in the comments:
Do you think gold will break above $3,360 this week? Or are we gearing up for a deeper pullback?
Disclaimer:
Based on experience and what I see on the charts, this is my take. It’s not financial advice—always do your research and consult a licensed advisor before trading.
Trade active
#XAUUSD🚨 PRICE UPDATE
Following up on my recent video, the new week kicks off with strong bearish momentum as Gold slides into the $3,305 zone - testing the descending trendline we previously identified.
Key Catalyst: The US Dollar appears to regain strength amid renewed demand, spurred by Trump’s expected tariff letter set to go out today, reviving trade tensions and weighing on gold sentiment.
Now the big question is...
Will this trendline hold as support or will price break below?
On the 1H timeframe, a new structure has emerged (see chart below), mirroring the prevailing market sentiment. This updated setup will heavily influence my trade decisions going into today’s session.
🎙 We’ll be dissecting this development in full detail during our live stream this morning. Don't miss it, we’ll break down the possibilities and prepare for what lies ahead.
See you soon! 🔎💥
Note
#XAUUSD🔄 Post-Livestream Update – 15M Setup
Price has been ranging for the past 9 hours, clearly showing indecision in the market.
Here's a 15-minute timeframe setup I'm currently watching. This range is what’s guiding my bias at the moment. Until we get a confirmed breakout, I’m staying neutral.
Sentiment: Mixed
Range Boundaries: [$3,305 - $3,313.50]
Chart: 15-minute
Bias: No trade yet; waiting for clear breakout from the range
This kind of consolidation is common after major sentiment-driven moves like we discussed earlier in the stream.
Note
#XAUUSD🚨 Midweek Insight 🚨
After riding a 300+ pips price move from our previous structure, price action is now holding steady, seemingly finding firm support above the $3,285 zone.
Why the pause in momentum?
📌 There's growing uncertainty around tariff-related inflation risks, which could pressure the Fed to hold off on rate cuts for now. This has been a major support for the price of the USD, which in turn puts some pressure on Gold.
However... Despite USD strength, sellers have been unable to break below the $3,285 level, and that might be telling us something. It could be a red flag for bears, possibly signalling that buyers are regaining control or at least getting ready to defend key zones.
As we approach today’s FOMC Minutes and tomorrow’s Initial Jobless Claims, market participants are treading carefully, and so should we.
🕵🏽♂️ My Current Focus:
The new 15-minute structure (see chart below) reflects sentiment shifts since the start of the week and will serve as my compass for today's decision.
We’ll break this all down in detail during our upcoming livestream session.
📅 See you soon
Note
#XAUUSD🚨 Market Update – July 11 🚨
After a 400+ pip move from our last identified structure, gold is now consolidating as the market catches its breath ahead of today’s session.
📉 Fed Minutes Recap: There's growing sentiment that interest rates may be cut as early as this month, but most policymakers are still voicing inflation concerns—especially in light of President Donald Trump’s renewed push for import taxes, aimed at reshaping global trade.
🌍 Trade tensions remain a dominant theme, and that’s what’s keeping gold supported, with safe-haven demand extending the metal’s recovery from weekly lows.
📊 My 15-minute timeframe chart shows a fresh structure that mirrors current sentiment. That’s what I’ll be using to guide my trades today. (See chart below)
🟡 We’ll go deeper into these dynamics during my upcoming live stream.
See you soon! 🔔
Trade smart. Trade consciously
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Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Trade smart. Trade consciously
Related publications
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.