🟡 Market Outlook – Late June 2025
📉 Geopolitical Shift
Recent diplomatic progress has eased tensions between Iran, Israel, and the U.S. A ceasefire is now in place, reportedly supported by U.S. mediation efforts. Iran is also signaling openness to resuming nuclear discussions — a major shift that reduces geopolitical risk in the region.
📈 Risk-On Mood in Markets
Traditional markets have responded strongly:
Nasdaq-100 reached all-time highs
S&P 500 up ~1.1%
Dow Jones gained over 500 points
These are clear signs that investor sentiment is shifting away from fear and toward risk assets.
🛢️ Oil Prices Cooling
Crude oil has dropped significantly:
Brent and WTI are both down 6–7%
This drop reflects reduced concerns about a supply shock and confirms that energy markets are not pricing in a wider conflict.
🥇 Gold Losing Momentum
Gold failed to sustain above $3,445 and is now facing strong selling pressure. The easing geopolitical risk, dropping oil, and rising equities are all bearish signals for gold.
🎯 My short-term target: $3,218
As the safe-haven demand continues to fade, I expect XAUUSD to test the $3,218 level in the coming days.
🪙 Meanwhile in Crypto
Bitcoin and other crypto assets are rallying, benefiting from capital rotation and the renewed risk appetite. BTC could be eyeing new all-time highs as gold pulls back.
⚠️ Not financial advice – always do your own research.
📉 Geopolitical Shift
Recent diplomatic progress has eased tensions between Iran, Israel, and the U.S. A ceasefire is now in place, reportedly supported by U.S. mediation efforts. Iran is also signaling openness to resuming nuclear discussions — a major shift that reduces geopolitical risk in the region.
📈 Risk-On Mood in Markets
Traditional markets have responded strongly:
Nasdaq-100 reached all-time highs
S&P 500 up ~1.1%
Dow Jones gained over 500 points
These are clear signs that investor sentiment is shifting away from fear and toward risk assets.
🛢️ Oil Prices Cooling
Crude oil has dropped significantly:
Brent and WTI are both down 6–7%
This drop reflects reduced concerns about a supply shock and confirms that energy markets are not pricing in a wider conflict.
🥇 Gold Losing Momentum
Gold failed to sustain above $3,445 and is now facing strong selling pressure. The easing geopolitical risk, dropping oil, and rising equities are all bearish signals for gold.
🎯 My short-term target: $3,218
As the safe-haven demand continues to fade, I expect XAUUSD to test the $3,218 level in the coming days.
🪙 Meanwhile in Crypto
Bitcoin and other crypto assets are rallying, benefiting from capital rotation and the renewed risk appetite. BTC could be eyeing new all-time highs as gold pulls back.
⚠️ Not financial advice – always do your own research.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.