Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar
Short
Updated

Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD | June 11, 2025

103
Currently, the price is moving sideways within a channel.

🔍 Wave Structure Analysis:
Looking closely at the wave patterns inside this price channel, we can clearly see a series of 3-wave structures developing. Previously, we also observed what appears to be an abc corrective pattern (black), which leads me to suspect that we might be forming a triangle structure as the beginning of a wave 1 sequence (12345 in green).

It seems that wave 4 has already completed, and the price is currently in wave 5. Structurally, wave 5 may take the form of a 3-wave move, and the key confirmation we want to see is a break above 3349, signaling that the top of wave 5 is in place.

☄️ Typically, once a wave 1 triangle completes, the market tends to enter a sharp and deep corrective move in the form of a zigzag.

🎯 Potential Target Zones (based on Fibonacci + Volume Profile):

Target Zone 1: 3352 – 3355

Target Zone 2: 3362 – 3365

⚡️ Momentum Outlook:

D1 Momentum: Starting to turn bullish, suggesting the current correction is nearing completion and we could see a bullish week ahead.

H4 Momentum: Currently in overbought territory – I expect the price to break above 3349, followed by a momentum reversal on H4, which could provide a great SELL opportunity at the upper targets.

H1 Momentum: Is about to turn bearish, indicating a short-term pullback may occur. If this correction fails to break below 3315, the price may be completing wave 5 as a 3-wave structure. In that case, we should wait for H1 momentum to turn bullish and then bearish again to confirm wave 5 completion.

📌 Trading Plan:
🔻 SELL Zone: 3352 – 3355
⛔️ Stop Loss: 3369
🎯 TP1: 3334
🎯 TP2: 3307
Trade active
+140 pips
snapshot

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