XAUUSD Thursday Chart

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Market Structure & Context
Timeframe: 15-Minute (M15)

Overall Trend: Bearish after a confirmed Break of Structure (BOS) to the downside

Current Price Action: In a retracement phase toward a premium supply zone

Bias: Expecting a liquidity sweep upward, followed by a strong sell-off

🧱 Key Structure Zones
NYL.H & NYL.L: High and Low of the previous New York session

ASIA.H & ASIA.L: High and Low of the Asia session

NYPM.H & NYPM.L: High and Low of the New York PM session

🔍 Critical Levels & POIs
Breaker Block (Dark Gray Box)

Formed after price swept buy-side liquidity and then broke structure upward

Expected to act as a support zone for a temporary buy or a reaction point

BSL POI (Buy-Side Liquidity - Point of Interest)

A manipulated breakout area targeted by smart money

Expected to entice FOMO buyers before a sharp reversal downward

Sell-Side Liquidity (SSL)

Located below the current breaker block

This is the final liquidity target for a continuation sell move

📈 Expected Price Behavior
Price is currently retracing upward

Projected Scenario:

Price moves up to tap into the BSL POI zone (around 3,303–3,305)

Price rejects the POI, forming a potential distribution range

Breakdown from the range initiates a sell-off

Targeting final support / liquidity sweep around 3,268.04

🎯 Trade Setup & Plan
Bias: Sell after a liquidity sweep above key highs

Entry Trigger: Upon clear rejection from the BSL POI zone

Stop Loss: Above BSL POI (~3,307–3,309)

Take Profit: 3,268.04, yielding a Risk-to-Reward Ratio ~4.67

⏰ Killzone Timing (SMC Timing Model)
NY AM Killzone (14:00–19:00 GMT+7)
→ Ideal for entries; likely where liquidity manipulation occurs

NY Lunch & PM
→ Potential for distribution phase completion and sell-off

📌 Additional Notes
Price action reveals a clean FVG (Fair Value Gap) and a completed BSL sweep

Final downside target aims for the NYPM Low, identified as a weak low

Rejection from the breaker block is crucial; confirmation via BOS/CHoCH on lower TF is preferred

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