🚨 GOLD ANALYSIS – WEEKEND INSIGHTS & MONDAY GAMEPLAN 🧠📊
🗓️ Date: March 29, 2025
📍 Market Closed – Planning Ahead
So I’ve spent my weekend deep diving into Gold Spot (XAU/USD) and here’s my complete breakdown 🔍 – covering both fundamentals and technical levels, plus how I’m personally setting up for Monday across trading sessions. 👇
🔮 Fundamental Analysis – Why Gold is Skyrocketing
📈 Geopolitical Tensions
The recent tariff threats from President Trump have shaken the markets again. As expected, investors (including myself) are rushing to safety—and what’s better than gold in times like these? 🛡️
💸 Inflation Hedge
With global trade uncertainty adding fuel to inflation fears, gold is acting as a hedge. This is one reason I’m seeing such strong upward momentum in the metal.
🏦 Central Banks Buying
A lot of Asian central banks are continuing to increase their gold reserves—another solid bullish indicator. 📊
📉 Equity Market Volatility
Stocks have been all over the place lately, and that volatility is pushing money into safe-haven assets like gold. This rotation out of risk is a trend I’m watching closely.
📉 Technical Analysis – Clean Price Action Setup
Looking at the 1H chart (attached 👇), I’ve marked the breakout and breakdown zones:
🟥 Resistance (Breakout Level): $3,092
🟩 Support (Breakdown Level): $3,070
If we break above $3,092 with volume, I’ll be looking for long positions 🚀 targeting the $3,110–$3,120 range.
However, if price fails and breaks down below $3,070 with confirmation, I’ll shift to shorts targeting $3,040 and potentially $3,028 🪓
🛠️ Key Indicators:
✅ Price above 50 & 100 MA → Bullish
📏 RSI around 62 with visible Bearish Divergence – caution warranted ⚠️
📊 Volume increasing at resistance zones → watching for fakeouts or strong breakouts
📅 My Session-Wise Trading Plan for Monday
💹 Asian Session (early caution):
I’ll start light, watching for structure. If gold sustains above $3,085 with minor pullbacks, I may scalp small longs.
🇪🇺 European Session (volume confirmation):
Volume usually picks up here. I’ll look to build positions based on whether we confirm a breakout above $3,092 or if we reject and revisit $3,070.
🇺🇸 US Session (high-volatility window):
I expect increased volatility and possibly a breakout attempt. If fundamentals or news line up, I’m ready to go aggressive on either breakout or breakdown. Stops will be tight, and I’ll trail profits. 📈📉
🔐 Risk Management – Always
🛑 My Stop-loss:
Below $3,070 for longs
Above $3,085 for shorts
📊 Position sizing: no more than 2–3% of capital risked per setup.
📰 Will keep eyes on any geopolitical headlines or inflation updates during the day to re-evaluate.
✅ Final Thoughts
I’m bullish on gold 📈, but not blindly so. I’ll be letting price and structure confirm the next move. Whether we go up or down, I’m prepared on both ends 💪
Let me know how you guys are planning your Monday trades – I’m always down to exchange thoughts 💬
#Gold #XAUUSD #TradingPlan #TechnicalAnalysis #FundamentalAnalysis #Forex #Commodities #MondaySetup #PriceAction #SafeHaven #Geopolitics #GoldBulls
🗓️ Date: March 29, 2025
📍 Market Closed – Planning Ahead
So I’ve spent my weekend deep diving into Gold Spot (XAU/USD) and here’s my complete breakdown 🔍 – covering both fundamentals and technical levels, plus how I’m personally setting up for Monday across trading sessions. 👇
🔮 Fundamental Analysis – Why Gold is Skyrocketing
📈 Geopolitical Tensions
The recent tariff threats from President Trump have shaken the markets again. As expected, investors (including myself) are rushing to safety—and what’s better than gold in times like these? 🛡️
💸 Inflation Hedge
With global trade uncertainty adding fuel to inflation fears, gold is acting as a hedge. This is one reason I’m seeing such strong upward momentum in the metal.
🏦 Central Banks Buying
A lot of Asian central banks are continuing to increase their gold reserves—another solid bullish indicator. 📊
📉 Equity Market Volatility
Stocks have been all over the place lately, and that volatility is pushing money into safe-haven assets like gold. This rotation out of risk is a trend I’m watching closely.
📉 Technical Analysis – Clean Price Action Setup
Looking at the 1H chart (attached 👇), I’ve marked the breakout and breakdown zones:
🟥 Resistance (Breakout Level): $3,092
🟩 Support (Breakdown Level): $3,070
If we break above $3,092 with volume, I’ll be looking for long positions 🚀 targeting the $3,110–$3,120 range.
However, if price fails and breaks down below $3,070 with confirmation, I’ll shift to shorts targeting $3,040 and potentially $3,028 🪓
🛠️ Key Indicators:
✅ Price above 50 & 100 MA → Bullish
📏 RSI around 62 with visible Bearish Divergence – caution warranted ⚠️
📊 Volume increasing at resistance zones → watching for fakeouts or strong breakouts
📅 My Session-Wise Trading Plan for Monday
💹 Asian Session (early caution):
I’ll start light, watching for structure. If gold sustains above $3,085 with minor pullbacks, I may scalp small longs.
🇪🇺 European Session (volume confirmation):
Volume usually picks up here. I’ll look to build positions based on whether we confirm a breakout above $3,092 or if we reject and revisit $3,070.
🇺🇸 US Session (high-volatility window):
I expect increased volatility and possibly a breakout attempt. If fundamentals or news line up, I’m ready to go aggressive on either breakout or breakdown. Stops will be tight, and I’ll trail profits. 📈📉
🔐 Risk Management – Always
🛑 My Stop-loss:
Below $3,070 for longs
Above $3,085 for shorts
📊 Position sizing: no more than 2–3% of capital risked per setup.
📰 Will keep eyes on any geopolitical headlines or inflation updates during the day to re-evaluate.
✅ Final Thoughts
I’m bullish on gold 📈, but not blindly so. I’ll be letting price and structure confirm the next move. Whether we go up or down, I’m prepared on both ends 💪
Let me know how you guys are planning your Monday trades – I’m always down to exchange thoughts 💬
#Gold #XAUUSD #TradingPlan #TechnicalAnalysis #FundamentalAnalysis #Forex #Commodities #MondaySetup #PriceAction #SafeHaven #Geopolitics #GoldBulls
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The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.