Tariff shadow and gold's safe-haven game

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This week, market sentiment was stirred up and down by Trump's tariff stick. This unconventional president, while firing at Canada and Japan, let the July 9 tariff deadline hang like a knife over the heads of risky assets. If the suspension order is not extended, the market may have to relive the chaos of "Liberation Day" in April - gold will become the "safe-haven spare tire" at this time.

Although the situation in the Middle East has cooled down, gold has stabilized at $3,340 due to the weakness of the US dollar and tariff anxiety. After falling to 3,245 at the beginning of the week, it rebounded quickly, and the bulls were briefly revelry, but the real test will be on Thursday's non-agricultural data - whether it will rush to 3,400 or return to 3,300, it all depends on the face of the US dollar and Trump's next move. If the tariff powder keg is ignited, gold will rise; if it is postponed, this precious metal is afraid to "fall out of favor" again.

Technically, the daily line is long, with short-term support at 3,330-3,336 and resistance at 3,358-3,365. In terms of operation, continue to follow the trend and buy low at night, ambush near 3336-3330, and look at 3400 if it breaks.

The script of gold always switches between "panic" and "greed" - and Trump may be the most competent "director" at the moment.

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