Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD | July 21, 2025

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🔍 Momentum Analysis

- D1 Timeframe: Momentum is currently rising → the dominant trend over the next 3 days is likely to remain bullish.

- H4 Timeframe: Momentum is approaching the oversold area → just one more bearish H4 candle could complete the entry into oversold territory.

- H1 Timeframe: Momentum is about to reverse downward → suggesting a short-term corrective pullback in the current session.

🌀 Elliott Wave Structure Update

On the H4 chart, price continues to consolidate within a corrective triangle structure. According to our previous plan, price approached the 3358 zone, and we expect:

- Wave 1 (black) may have completed at the 3358 high.

- Currently, Wave 2 (black) is likely unfolding:
+ Wave A appears to have completed.
+ The current upward leg is part of Wave B.
+ A final drop in Wave C is expected, with two key target zones:
- Target 1: 3342
- Target 2: 3332

🔎 Combining Momentum & Wave Structure

- If price breaks above 3358, we want to see a sharp, impulsive, and steep rally to confirm the beginning of Wave 3.

- If price movement remains choppy or overlapping, the market is likely still in a corrective phase.

- Key resistance zone to monitor: 3390–3402 – a clean breakout above this range would significantly strengthen the Wave 3 scenario.

📌 Trade Plan

1️⃣ BUY Setup #1
Entry Zone: 3343 – 3341
Stop Loss: 3337
Take Profit 1: 3358
Take Profit 2: 3390

2️⃣ BUY Setup #2
Entry Zone: 3333 – 3331
Stop Loss: 3323
Take Profit 1: 3358
Take Profit 2: 3390

📎 Note: Prioritize entries that come with clear confirmation signals from price action and momentum. Avoid buying during choppy or indecisive market conditions.

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