Distribution Phase at the Top, Key Support in Focus

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Following a sharp breakout from the demand zone around $3,310, gold has entered a sideways consolidation range between $3,355 – $3,367. The price has repeatedly tested the support at $3,352 – $3,354 but failed to form higher highs beyond $3,367. This signals buyer exhaustion and a potential distribution pattern at the top.
The inability to push higher suggests increased risk of a bearish breakdown.

Key Technical Levels
Immediate Resistance: $3,367.77
Short-Term Support: $3,352 – $3,354 (blue box zone)
Major Support Below: $3,310 – $3,315 (previous breakout base, near 0.5 Fibonacci retracement)

Suggested Trading Strategies
Primary Scenario: Sell on Breakdown
Trigger Condition: Price breaks below $3,352 with increasing volume
Entry: $3,350
Stop Loss: $3,360
Target: $3,320 – $3,310

This is a momentum-following setup, ideal if the current support fails.
Alternative Scenario: Buy from Major Support
Entry Zone: $3,310 – $3,315
Stop Loss: Below $3,300
Target: $3,345 – $3,355

Suitable for counter-trend traders looking to catch a rebound off strong demand.

Additional Technical Signals
EMA 20 (15m): Flattening out, indicating loss of bullish momentum
RSI: Hovering around 50, showing a balance between buyers and sellers
Volume: Gradually decreasing, suggesting a potential breakout setup is building

Gold is currently in a distribution phase after a sharp upward move. If the $3,352 support zone breaks, a retracement toward $3,310 – $3,315 is likely. However, bulls may step back in around that zone for a potential rebound.
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