XAU/USD 04 April 2025 Intraday Analysis

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H4 Analysis:

-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.

Since last analysis price has printed a bearish CHoCH which is the first indication, but not confirmation of bearish pullback phase initiation.

Price is now trading within an established internal range.

Intraday Expectation:

Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,187,835

Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.

Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.

H4 Chart: snapshot

M15 Analysis:

-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.

Price has printed as per yesterday's alternative scenario whereby price has printed a bearish iBOS due to H4 TF being in, although not as yet confirmed, in bearish pullback phase.

Intraday Expectation:

Price has already traded up to premium of internal 50% EQ, therefore, price to target weak internal low priced at

Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.

Trump's tariff announcement will most likely cause considerably increased volatility and whipsaws.

M15 Chart: snapshot

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