XAUUSD Short: Sellers to Maintain Control at 3380 Supply

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Hello, traders! The macro structure for the XAU price auction has been defined by two critical pivot points, establishing a wide and volatile consolidation range. A major pivot point high was formed at the 3390 supply zone, while a subsequent pivot point low anchored the market at the 3300 demand zone. All price action since has occurred between these two dominant control zones, transitioning the market into a state of balance.

Currently, the price action is contracting within a large symmetrical triangle, signaling a compression of volatility. The auction is now at a critical inflection point, as it is directly testing the upper boundary of this formation. This area represents a powerful confluence of resistance, where the descending supply line and the horizontal 3380 - 3390 supply zone intersect, providing a key battleground for market participants.

The working hypothesis is a short scenario, predicated on sellers successfully defending this resistance confluence. It is anticipated that the price will make a final push into the supply zone before being rejected. A confirmed failure to break higher would validate the triangle's integrity and initiate a full rotation to the downside. The take-profit is therefore set at 3330, targeting the high-liquidity area where the ascending demand line converges with the horizontal demand zone. Manage your risk!

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