Gold's decline does not mean a bearish trend

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Gold opened high and closed low today, gradually declining from 3405 and then widening its losses, hitting a low of 3354 in the European session. The intraday short-term trend was clearly weak, with the price still unable to break through 3400 and stabilize. In last week's analysis, I emphasized that if this uptrend fails to stabilize above 3400, a downward turn is possible at any time.

However, in the medium and long term, the bullish outlook remains unchanged. Although 3400 hasn't been broken, after a deep correction, it will likely break again; it's just a matter of time.

It also requires the right opportunity, namely, news stimulus to drive the market. Focus on CPI data. Don't turn bearish based on today's decline; it could potentially rebound tomorrow. Therefore, we recommend avoiding short positions. Even if you do go short, wait for a rebound and use a stop-loss to maintain risk management.

Gold is currently trading sideways around 3360. If it rebounds before the US market opens and reaches the 3378-3380 level, short it with a stop-loss at 3390, targeting 3360-3350.

If there's no rebound before the US market opens and the decline continues, then consider a bullish trend around 3345. This was last week's starting point and coincides with the 50% retracement support level. A rebound could be expected if it reaches the watershed level of 3334, with a target around 3380. XAUUSD GOLD XAUUSD GOLD XAUUSD GOLD XAUUSD

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