1. Overall Technical Context
The XAUUSD daily chart shows that gold is under bearish pressure after failing to break the key confluence resistance at 3,385–3,399 USD, which includes:
- Fibonacci retracement levels 0.5 – 0.618
- A strong supply zone that has been repeatedly rejected
- A minor swing high formed near 3,451 USD
2. Recent Price Behavior
Price has broken below the short-term support at 3,331 USD and is now retesting the Key Lever zone around 3,300 USD, which is a confluence of:
- Previous June swing low
- Fibonacci 0.618 retracement of the latest upward move from 3,221 to 3,451
- A key previous support zone, potentially forming the right shoulder of a head and shoulders structure
If this zone breaks decisively, XAUUSD may continue falling toward the 3,270 – 3,250 USD area, where strong liquidity was previously found.

Key Technical Zones
Resistance:
3,385 – 3,399: Fibo 0.5–0.618 zone and recent swing high
3,435 – 3,451: Major swing high and starting point of the latest correction
Support:
3,300 – 3,320 (Key Lever): Major support currently being tested
3,271 – 3,250: Next support if the current zone fails
Suggested Trading Scenarios
Scenario 1 – Buy on Confirmation at Key Lever
Entry: 3,300 – 3,297 (Key Lever zone)
Stop-loss: Below 3,292
Take-profit: 3,310 – 3,315 – 3,320
Condition: Wait for a clear reversal candlestick pattern or signs of selling absorption on H4/H1
Scenario 2 – Sell if Price Breaks Below Key Lever
Entry: Below 3,290 (after clear break of Key Lever)
Stop-loss: Above 3,298
Take-profit: 3,280 – 3,270
P.S. XAUUSD is currently sitting at a decisive support area around 3,300 USD. The medium-term trend will depend on whether this zone holds. Traders are advised to closely watch price action on the H1–H4 timeframes before executing entries.
Follow for more daily trading strategies and don’t forget to save this analysis if you find it helpful for your trading plan.
Analyst: Henrybillion
The XAUUSD daily chart shows that gold is under bearish pressure after failing to break the key confluence resistance at 3,385–3,399 USD, which includes:
- Fibonacci retracement levels 0.5 – 0.618
- A strong supply zone that has been repeatedly rejected
- A minor swing high formed near 3,451 USD
2. Recent Price Behavior
Price has broken below the short-term support at 3,331 USD and is now retesting the Key Lever zone around 3,300 USD, which is a confluence of:
- Previous June swing low
- Fibonacci 0.618 retracement of the latest upward move from 3,221 to 3,451
- A key previous support zone, potentially forming the right shoulder of a head and shoulders structure
If this zone breaks decisively, XAUUSD may continue falling toward the 3,270 – 3,250 USD area, where strong liquidity was previously found.
Key Technical Zones
Resistance:
3,385 – 3,399: Fibo 0.5–0.618 zone and recent swing high
3,435 – 3,451: Major swing high and starting point of the latest correction
Support:
3,300 – 3,320 (Key Lever): Major support currently being tested
3,271 – 3,250: Next support if the current zone fails
Suggested Trading Scenarios
Scenario 1 – Buy on Confirmation at Key Lever
Entry: 3,300 – 3,297 (Key Lever zone)
Stop-loss: Below 3,292
Take-profit: 3,310 – 3,315 – 3,320
Condition: Wait for a clear reversal candlestick pattern or signs of selling absorption on H4/H1
Scenario 2 – Sell if Price Breaks Below Key Lever
Entry: Below 3,290 (after clear break of Key Lever)
Stop-loss: Above 3,298
Take-profit: 3,280 – 3,270
P.S. XAUUSD is currently sitting at a decisive support area around 3,300 USD. The medium-term trend will depend on whether this zone holds. Traders are advised to closely watch price action on the H1–H4 timeframes before executing entries.
Follow for more daily trading strategies and don’t forget to save this analysis if you find it helpful for your trading plan.
Analyst: Henrybillion
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️🥇 Exchange and learn market knowledge
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Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.