XAUUSD – Selling Pressure Intensifies, the 3,300 USD

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1. Overall Technical Context

The XAUUSD daily chart shows that gold is under bearish pressure after failing to break the key confluence resistance at 3,385–3,399 USD, which includes:
- Fibonacci retracement levels 0.5 – 0.618
- A strong supply zone that has been repeatedly rejected
- A minor swing high formed near 3,451 USD

2. Recent Price Behavior
Price has broken below the short-term support at 3,331 USD and is now retesting the Key Lever zone around 3,300 USD, which is a confluence of:

- Previous June swing low
- Fibonacci 0.618 retracement of the latest upward move from 3,221 to 3,451
- A key previous support zone, potentially forming the right shoulder of a head and shoulders structure

If this zone breaks decisively, XAUUSD may continue falling toward the 3,270 – 3,250 USD area, where strong liquidity was previously found.

snapshot
Key Technical Zones

Resistance:
3,385 – 3,399: Fibo 0.5–0.618 zone and recent swing high
3,435 – 3,451: Major swing high and starting point of the latest correction

Support:
3,300 – 3,320 (Key Lever): Major support currently being tested
3,271 – 3,250: Next support if the current zone fails

Suggested Trading Scenarios

Scenario 1 – Buy on Confirmation at Key Lever

Entry: 3,300 – 3,297 (Key Lever zone)
Stop-loss: Below 3,292
Take-profit: 3,310 – 3,315 – 3,320

Condition: Wait for a clear reversal candlestick pattern or signs of selling absorption on H4/H1

Scenario 2 – Sell if Price Breaks Below Key Lever

Entry: Below 3,290 (after clear break of Key Lever)
Stop-loss: Above 3,298
Take-profit: 3,280 – 3,270

P.S. XAUUSD is currently sitting at a decisive support area around 3,300 USD. The medium-term trend will depend on whether this zone holds. Traders are advised to closely watch price action on the H1–H4 timeframes before executing entries.

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Analyst: Henrybillion

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