XAUUSD The ultimate Sniper Entry Plan for 25 March 2025

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XAU/USD - Daily Review & Sniper Entry Plan - March 25th, 2025

✨ Overall Bias:

Monthly: Bullish, but with a candle showing exhaustion, potential pullback towards discount.

Weekly: Indecision, but we have a small CHoCH on the structure - possible correction towards the 2980 zone.

Daily: Clear bearish candle on Friday, followed by a mild correction on Monday. Liquidity grab below 3000, but close above.

🌐 Timeframe Breakdown:

D1:

Last confirmed CHoCH.

Imbalance and FVG in the 3022-3035 zone.

Potential bearish OB between 3031-3036.

RSI below 50, momentum fading.

H4:

Lower highs / lower lows structure.

Bearish confirmation: BOS + rejection from OB.

Imbalance 3016-3026.

EMA 21 and 50 acting as dynamic resistance.

H1:

Last CHoCH in the 3024 zone.

Bearish engulfing confirmation.

Unfilled FVG: 3016-3020.

RSI < 40, increasing volume on bearish candles.

M30 / M15:

BOS on M15 and retest in the area of interest.

Last swing high at 3018.13.

Liquidity above 3018 and 3024 (EQH), below 3000 (EQL).

🔹 Sniper Entry Scenarios

Scenario 1 (Short)

Entry: 3018 - 3022 (FVG zone + OB + 61.8% Fibonacci)

Confirmation: M15 bearish engulfing or BOS + retest.

SL: above 3028

TP1: 3000

TP2: 2985 (discount zone + liquidity)

Scenario 2 (Long - Countertrend/Scalp)

Entry: 2985 - 2990 (liquidity zone )

Confirmation: M15 BOS + bullish pattern (engulfing/pin)

SL: below 2979

TP1: 3000

TP2: 3015

🔹 POI (Key Zones):

3022-3028: FVG + OB + 61.8% Fibonacci - potential short zone

3018.13: EQH - liquidity inducement

2985: Daily OB + 78.6% Fibonacci - potential buy zone

🌍 EMA Guide:

EMA 5 < 21 on H1 and M30: bearish momentum

EMA 50 acting as dynamic resistance (on H1: 3022)

🔹 Conclusion: Favorable short on retracement to the 3018-3022 zone with confirmation. Target remains the 2985 zone for liquidity. Market response around 2985 will give clarity for potential buy/scalp.

⏳ Expectations: After the Daily close, we can expect liquidity inducement towards 3020+, followed by a dump towards 2990-2985.

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Trade closed manually
XAU/USD - Daily Review | March 25, 2025

The main scenario from yesterday played out partially. The 3018–3020 sell zone was temporarily broken to grab liquidity above the EQH (3030–3031.50), followed by a strong bearish rejection.

Executed trades:

Two sell positions entered in the 3028–3030 zone

Both closed manually at 3019 with +90–100 pips profit

Unfilled orders:

Some pending sell orders around 3018.50 remained untriggered before the stop hunt spike.

Liquidity:

Liquidity above EQH was taken, followed by sharp rejection — classic liquidity grab setup.

Market sentiment:

72% of traders were short during the spike — a clear retail trap

Bearish reaction after the liquidity grab confirms smart money activity

Conclusion: Bias remains bearish as long as price holds below 3031.50.
The 3018–3020 zone remains a valid POI. Looking for further confirmation toward 2999.85 / 2985.15 as next targets.

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