"Gold 08/27/2025: Will It Correct Deeply or Continue to Surge?"

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Market Overview

Gold surged on August 26, 2025: Spot gold up 0.5% to $3,382.19/oz (highest since August 11), futures up 0.5% to $3,433/oz.
Driver: President Trump's firing of Fed Governor Lisa Cook over mortgage fraud allegations creates uncertainty, boosting gold as a safe-haven. Bob Haberkorn (RJO Futures): “The Fed is the main driver of gold's price action.”

Fundamental Factors

Fed: Chair Powell signals 0.25% rate cut in September 2025 (87% probability, CME FedWatch).
Economic Data: US durable goods orders down 2.8% (July), better than forecast. Await GDP (Aug 28) & PCE (Aug 29).
Gold Appeal: Attractive in low rates and economic uncertainty.

Technical Analysis

Gold hit Order Block (OB) at 339x, retraced to 337x. Bullish above 337x; break below with bad news triggers Bearish.
Key Levels:

Support: 337x, 3353-3357
Resistance: 339x, 3400-3402

Trading Plan (ICT)
BUY Setups

Scalp Buy:

Entry: 3370-3368
SL: 3365
TP: 3378 / 3388 / 3394


Zone Buy:

Entry: 3357-3353
SL: 3346
TP: 3364 / 3373 / 3381 / 3394 / 3402



SELL Setups

Scalp Sell:

Entry: 3387-3389
SL: 3393
TP: 3379 / 3369


Zone Sell:

Entry: 3400-3402
SL: 3410
TP: 3394 / 3384 / 3371 / 3362 / 3350

Disclaimer

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