Gold prices (XAU/USD) rebounded modestly during Friday's Asian trading session, recouping some of the previous day's losses, but bullish momentum was limited. The dollar's previous rally, buoyed by strong US Producer Price Index (PPI) data, lacked sustainability. Investors widely expect the Federal Reserve to resume its interest rate cut cycle in September, supporting gold.
According to data released by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics, the PPI grew 3.3% year-on-year in July, exceeding market expectations of 2.5% and significantly higher than June's 2.4%. Despite this, the CME FedWatch tool shows a 90% probability that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in September, with a cumulative 50 basis points cut expected by year-end.
Furthermore, market sentiment was supported by multiple positive factors, including easing trade concerns between the US and Asia and the potential for a ceasefire in the Ukrainian conflict following the US-Russia summit. These factors have boosted global risk appetite and limited further gains for gold as a safe-haven asset.
Analysts point out that amidst a rebound in risk appetite, gold's short-term performance may hinge on upcoming data releases such as US retail sales, the New York Fed manufacturing index, and the University of Michigan's consumer confidence index. These indicators could influence the US dollar and, indirectly, gold prices.
Daily chart analysis shows that gold prices are encountering significant resistance near the 100-hour moving average (around $3,355). Multiple rebounds have failed to break through this level, indicating that short-term selling pressure remains significant.
If prices break through this level, they could test the $3,375 and $3,400 levels. However, a break below $3,330 support could trigger an accelerated decline, potentially targeting $3,300 or even lower. Technical indicators show weak daily volatility, and the short-term trend remains downward.
The current rebound in gold is more of a technical correction than a trend reversal. Amidst a lack of sustained US dollar buying and lingering expectations of a Fed rate cut, gold prices are likely to remain range-bound in the short term.
However, if market risk sentiment further heats up, gold's safe-haven properties may continue to weaken. We need to pay attention to the effectiveness of the $3,330 support. Once it is lost, the downside space will open up quickly.
XAUUSD GOLD XAUUSD GOLD XAUUSD GOLD XAUUSD GOLD
According to data released by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics, the PPI grew 3.3% year-on-year in July, exceeding market expectations of 2.5% and significantly higher than June's 2.4%. Despite this, the CME FedWatch tool shows a 90% probability that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in September, with a cumulative 50 basis points cut expected by year-end.
Furthermore, market sentiment was supported by multiple positive factors, including easing trade concerns between the US and Asia and the potential for a ceasefire in the Ukrainian conflict following the US-Russia summit. These factors have boosted global risk appetite and limited further gains for gold as a safe-haven asset.
Analysts point out that amidst a rebound in risk appetite, gold's short-term performance may hinge on upcoming data releases such as US retail sales, the New York Fed manufacturing index, and the University of Michigan's consumer confidence index. These indicators could influence the US dollar and, indirectly, gold prices.
Daily chart analysis shows that gold prices are encountering significant resistance near the 100-hour moving average (around $3,355). Multiple rebounds have failed to break through this level, indicating that short-term selling pressure remains significant.
If prices break through this level, they could test the $3,375 and $3,400 levels. However, a break below $3,330 support could trigger an accelerated decline, potentially targeting $3,300 or even lower. Technical indicators show weak daily volatility, and the short-term trend remains downward.
The current rebound in gold is more of a technical correction than a trend reversal. Amidst a lack of sustained US dollar buying and lingering expectations of a Fed rate cut, gold prices are likely to remain range-bound in the short term.
However, if market risk sentiment further heats up, gold's safe-haven properties may continue to weaken. We need to pay attention to the effectiveness of the $3,330 support. Once it is lost, the downside space will open up quickly.
XAUUSD GOLD XAUUSD GOLD XAUUSD GOLD XAUUSD GOLD 
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Real-time strategies are like a beacon guiding your investment path. The market will never disappoint those who persevere and explore wisely....🚀🚀VIP Channel t.me/EagleEyePrecisionAnalysis
👉Exclusive address t.me/Eagle_PreciseAnalysis
👉Exclusive address t.me/Eagle_PreciseAnalysis
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.