XAUUSD Daily Outlook – August 4, 2025

125
We’re not in breakout. We’re deep in premium — and supply is stacked.



Gold is now trading at 3362, sitting right inside the first valid daily supply zone — the same block between 3355 and 3375 that caused the last rejection. The bullish rally from 3272 was clean: liquidity sweep, CHoCH, imbalance filled, HL confirmed. Bulls did their job. Now they’re walking straight into pressure.

Above this zone, things don’t get easier — they get trickier.

Just a bit higher, we have an internal supply trap between 3398 and 3412. It’s a reaction zone built from imbalance and inducement — not strong enough to hold a reversal on its own, but perfect to fake out breakout buyers. If price pushes through 3375 and enters this pocket, snipers should be watching carefully for early signs of weakness.

And finally, at the top of the current structure sits the HTF supply trap at 3430–3439 — the last weekly wick, the macro reversal zone. That level is sacred. If price makes it there, either we’ll see full-blown expansion… or a violent reversal born from overconfidence.

So what do we do now?

We wait.

If price starts to reject from this 3355–3375 supply with bearish intent, we target the flip reentry zone at 3318–3328 — the previous CHoCH break and dynamic EMA cluster. That’s your first intraday long trigger if bulls want to come back strong.

If that breaks, next is the demand base at 3287–3267, the origin of this entire bullish move. Below that? Imbalance support near 3225 — the final line before structure shifts.



🟥 Valid Supply Zone → 3355–3375
🟥 Internal Supply Trap → 3398–3412
🟥 HTF Supply Trap → 3430–3439
🟫 Flip Reentry Zone → 3318–3328
🟦 Demand Base → 3287–3267
🟦 Imbalance Support → 3225–3205



This isn’t a breakout. It’s a build-up inside premium.
The smartest move today might be no move — until structure speaks.



Are you watching for the rejection? Or the breakout trap?
Let us know your bias below 👇🏼
Tap that ❤️ if this gave clarity, and follow GoldFxMinds to stay ahead of every key level — no noise, just structure.



With sniper calm and strategic clarity,
GoldFxMinds 💙

Disclosure: Analysis based on Trade Nation TradingView chart feed.

Disclaimer

The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.