GOLD MARKET ANALYSIS AND COMMENTARY - [Jun 30 - Jul 04]

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Last week, XAUUSD fell sharply from an opening price of $3,392/oz to a low of $3,255/oz and closed at $3,274/oz. The reason was that Israel and Iran had officially ceased fire, although negotiations with the US remained difficult. In addition, FED Chairman Jerome Powell reaffirmed that there was no rush to cut interest rates due to high inflation risks. In addition, summer is a period of weak demand for physical gold, continuing to put pressure on gold prices.

In addition, summer is typically the low season for physical gold demand, which could continue to weigh on gold prices.

In addition to the seasonal lull in trading that has affected the gold market, improving economic sentiment as the Trump administration has said there is progress in trade agreements, especially the framework agreement on trade with China, will also continue to negatively impact gold prices next week.

Thus, gold prices next week may continue to be under downward pressure, but the decline may not be too large as gold prices next week are still supported by some fundamental factors.

This week, the US will release the non-farm payrolls (NFP) report and the unemployment rate for June. According to forecasts, NFP may reach 120,000 jobs. If NFP increases higher than expected, the FED will continue to delay cutting interest rates, negatively affecting gold prices next week. On the contrary, if NFP drops sharply below 100,000 jobs, it will increase the possibility of the FED cutting interest rates, helping gold prices rise again next week, but not too strongly.

GOLD recovers, capped by $3,350, trend view


📌Technically, the gold price closed below $3,300/oz this week, which could pave the way for a drop to $3,200/oz next week, or below that to $3,120/oz. If the gold price rebounds above $3,300/oz next week, it could trigger a recovery to $3,330-$3,360/oz.

Notable technical levels are listed below.
Support: 3,246 – 3,228USD
Resistance: 3,292 – 3,300USD


SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3367 - 3365⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3371

BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3178 - 3180⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3174

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