Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar
Short
Updated

Gold Gains Ahead of Fed

99
📊 Market Overview

• Reason: Gold is trading around ~$3,380–$3,400/oz, supported by geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and expectations that the Fed will maintain high interest rates before potentially cutting later this year.
• Weak U.S. economic data (retail sales, housing, industrial production) also adds to safe-haven demand, providing further support for gold prices.

📉 Technical Analysis

• Key resistance: $3,410 – $3,465
• Nearest support: $3,340 – $3,300
• EMA 09 (short-term): Price remains above the 09 EMA, rebounding from ~$3,366 and holding above the 50 EMA → indicates a bullish trend is still intact.
• Candlestick patterns & volume: Bearish engulfing appeared on June 17 but lacked follow-through. Lower volume suggests range-bound movement ahead of the Fed announcement.

📌 Outlook

Gold may continue to rise modestly (bullish) in the short term if:
• The Fed keeps rates unchanged or takes a moderately hawkish stance,
• Geopolitical risks persist,
• U.S. economic data continues to show weakness.
However, a surprise from the Fed or a strong USD could lead to a pullback. Watch key levels: $3,340 (support), $3,410 (resistance).

💡 Suggested Trading Strategy

🔻 SELL XAU/USD
Entry zone: $3,410–$3,420
• 🎯 TP: ~$3,390 – $3,400
• ❌ SL: ~$3,430

🔺 BUY XAU/USD
Entry zone: $3,340–$3,350
• 🎯 TP: ~$3,360 – $3,370
• ❌ SL: ~$3,330

Trade active
Gold dropped to the 3348 zone and then spiked back up to the 3370 area.
Trade closed: target reached
Gold is currently trading around $3,371, edging higher amid rising tensions between Israel and Iran, which boost demand for safe-haven assets . Meanwhile, the Fed kept interest rates steady, with expectations of rate cuts later this year. The USD remains relatively firm but lacks the strength to reverse gold’s momentum .

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