Although the unexpected cold non-farm data last Friday failed to push gold prices above the key resistance of $2,930, the logic of gold's rise has not been shaken - the five core supporting factors of global central banks' increased holdings, continued inflows of ETFs, surge in demand for physical gold, deepening of the U.S. debt crisis and excessive money supply are constantly consolidating the long-term bull market foundation of gold. From a technical perspective, the daily MACD maintains a golden cross and the energy column expands. The weekly big positive line has established a medium-term upward trend. 2,990 is only the first target, and 3,000 or even higher may become the new normal.
The short-term market is in a volatile adjustment, but this is a necessary accumulation stage for a healthy rise. The current gold price is repeatedly pulling back in the range of 2,918-2,890, which is essentially a process of digesting previous profit-taking and waiting for new catalytic events. If it can effectively stand firm at the key support of $2,890, it is expected to restart the upward trend and challenge the historical high. It is worth noting that against the backdrop of the continued rise in expectations of the Fed's interest rate cuts, the spillover of geopolitical conflict risks and high global inflation, the dual attributes of gold's "anti-inflation + safe-haven" will continue to attract capital inflows. The general trend is still mainly to go long after falling back to lows.
Gold strategy suggestion: continue to go long after falling back to around 2900-2910.
The short-term market is in a volatile adjustment, but this is a necessary accumulation stage for a healthy rise. The current gold price is repeatedly pulling back in the range of 2,918-2,890, which is essentially a process of digesting previous profit-taking and waiting for new catalytic events. If it can effectively stand firm at the key support of $2,890, it is expected to restart the upward trend and challenge the historical high. It is worth noting that against the backdrop of the continued rise in expectations of the Fed's interest rate cuts, the spillover of geopolitical conflict risks and high global inflation, the dual attributes of gold's "anti-inflation + safe-haven" will continue to attract capital inflows. The general trend is still mainly to go long after falling back to lows.
Gold strategy suggestion: continue to go long after falling back to around 2900-2910.
Trade active
Continue to increase positions near 2900, target: 2920-2930 area
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Related publications
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.