Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar
Long
Updated

XAUUSD: Demand Rejection or Breakdown? All Eyes on 3,300 Zone

135
Chart Analysis Breakdown (30m TF – Gold/USD)
1. Market Structure Overview
Bearish Trend Dominance:
The price has shifted into a bearish structure after a Break of Structure (BOS) to the downside, indicating bearish control after failing to sustain higher highs.

Lower Highs & Lower Lows:
A consistent formation of LHs and LLs confirms bearish momentum.

2. Key Zones & Reactions
🟩 Demand Zone (~3,300–3,310):

Current price is reacting from a clearly defined demand zone.

Strong buying wick indicates interest and potential short-term bounce.

This zone has historical significance — previous reversal point.

🟥 Supply Zone (~3,420–3,445):

Price reversed sharply from here.

This is a key liquidity zone; expect heavy resistance if price retraces.

🔵 BOS Areas Marked:
Confirmed transitions in structure:

Bullish BOS followed by a bearish BOS — great illustration of shift in control.

🟨 Consolidation Blocks:
Highlighted ranging periods show distribution/accumulation phases before breakouts.

3. Trendlines & Channel Patterns
📉 Descending Trendline:
Acts as dynamic resistance.

If price retraces to this level (around 3,330–3,340), expect potential rejection unless broken cleanly.

📈 Previous Bullish Channel (Broken):
Price moved out of a bullish ascending channel, confirming bearish intent.

4. Ichimoku Cloud Context
Price is below the Kumo cloud, suggesting bearish bias remains intact.

Future cloud is bearish.

However, short-term pullback into cloud possible (especially if demand zone holds).

📊 Forecast & Trade Idea
Scenario 1: Bullish Rejection from Demand

Price may bounce towards 3,340 (previous S/R + trendline retest).

Watch for reaction at this level.

Scenario 2: Clean Break of Demand Zone

Opens path toward deeper downside (e.g., 3,280 or even lower).

Could trigger liquidity grab before reversal.

Trade active
trade active running 150 pips
Trade closed: target reached
snapshot

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