XAUUSD Menengah dan Akan Datang

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1. Visible Pattern

The chart shows a completed complex corrective pattern (ABCDE) inside a descending channel.

After the E wave finished, price started moving up, forming an initial impulse (wave 1).

Currently, the market is projected to build a 5-wave impulsive structure (Elliott Impulse):

Wave 1 is completed.

Wave 2 (pullback/retrace) is in progress.

Next target is a strong Wave 3, followed by Wave 4 correction, then Wave 5 final impulse up.

2. Key Levels

Key support (wave 2 area): around 3327 – 3315
(must hold for the bullish scenario to remain valid).

Nearby resistances:

3340 → minor resistance.

3380 → target for wave 3 start.

3407 → previous high & strong bullish confirmation.

Wave 5 target: could reach 3430 – 3450 if the full impulse develops.

3. Scenarios

📌 Bullish (main scenario)

As long as price holds above 3315, strong potential to continue upward.

After wave 2 completes, wave 3 is usually extended and aggressive → best buy opportunities after retrace ends.

📌 Bearish (alternative / invalidation)

If price breaks below 3315 – 3303 (previous low), the bullish impulsive scenario becomes invalid → price could continue deeper down.

4. Strategy

Buy the dip around support zone (3327 – 3315).

Short-term targets: 3380 – 3407.

Mid-term target (wave 5): 3430 – 3450.

Stop loss: below 3303.

👉 Conclusion: XAUUSD has just completed wave 1 and is now heading into wave 2 (pullback). As long as support holds, the bullish scenario towards wave 3–5 remains valid with targets at 3380–3450.

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