Gold (XAUUSD) | 4H Chart – High-Probability Bearish Setup
XAUUSD is setting up for a bearish move as price taps into a premium zone confluence, including an Order Block (OB), Fair Value Gap (FVG), and a 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Smart Money Concepts (SMC) traders will recognize this setup as a textbook scenario for a bearish continuation toward a Weak Low target.
🔍 SMC Breakdown:
Market Structure:
The market has shifted bearish after breaking the previous low and forming a lower high. The internal structure confirms bearish order flow, giving us confidence in continuation to the downside.
Liquidity & Inefficiency Play:
Recent sweep of buy-side liquidity above minor highs.
Rejection at premium pricing indicates Smart Money has triggered sell programs.
Internal liquidity pools were engineered and swept, confirming manipulation.
Entry Confluence Zone (Kill Zone):
🔴 Order Block (OB):
3,372 – 3,380 — bearish OB formed before strong impulse move.
🟣 Fair Value Gap (FVG):
Perfect overlap with the OB, leaving a gap that price has now rebalanced into.
📐 Fibonacci Levels from Swing Low to High:
61.8% = 3,373
70.5% = 3,377
79% = 3,380
This entire zone aligns with institutional premium pricing — the high-probability reversal range.
📉 Bearish Projection:
Expecting price to reject from OB/FVG zone and move toward the discount zone, targeting unmitigated lows and imbalance fills.
Key Downside Targets:
50% = 3,368
Full Extension = 3,333 (Aligned with Weak Low)
This level also sits near the 0.00% Fib level — a clean liquidity magnet.
🧠 Chart Ninja Entry Plan:
🔹 Entry: 3,373 – 3,380 (OB + FVG + Fib Premium)
🔻 Stop Loss: Above 3,381 (invalidate OB)
📉 Take Profit: 3,333 (Weak Low + Fib Completion)
⚖ RRR: ~1:4+ — high-confluence sniper setup
💬 Ninja Wisdom:
You're not trading random candles — you're trading intentional liquidity shifts.
This setup screams Smart Money footprint: OB rejection + inefficiency fill + premium pricing.
Be the sniper — not the trigger-happy retail trader. 🥷🎯
📍 Save this setup before it plays out — backtest and learn from it!
🔁 Drop your analysis below – agree or see it differently?
👣 Follow ChartNinjas88 for daily institutional-grade setups on Gold & more!
XAUUSD is setting up for a bearish move as price taps into a premium zone confluence, including an Order Block (OB), Fair Value Gap (FVG), and a 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Smart Money Concepts (SMC) traders will recognize this setup as a textbook scenario for a bearish continuation toward a Weak Low target.
🔍 SMC Breakdown:
Market Structure:
The market has shifted bearish after breaking the previous low and forming a lower high. The internal structure confirms bearish order flow, giving us confidence in continuation to the downside.
Liquidity & Inefficiency Play:
Recent sweep of buy-side liquidity above minor highs.
Rejection at premium pricing indicates Smart Money has triggered sell programs.
Internal liquidity pools were engineered and swept, confirming manipulation.
Entry Confluence Zone (Kill Zone):
🔴 Order Block (OB):
3,372 – 3,380 — bearish OB formed before strong impulse move.
🟣 Fair Value Gap (FVG):
Perfect overlap with the OB, leaving a gap that price has now rebalanced into.
📐 Fibonacci Levels from Swing Low to High:
61.8% = 3,373
70.5% = 3,377
79% = 3,380
This entire zone aligns with institutional premium pricing — the high-probability reversal range.
📉 Bearish Projection:
Expecting price to reject from OB/FVG zone and move toward the discount zone, targeting unmitigated lows and imbalance fills.
Key Downside Targets:
50% = 3,368
Full Extension = 3,333 (Aligned with Weak Low)
This level also sits near the 0.00% Fib level — a clean liquidity magnet.
🧠 Chart Ninja Entry Plan:
🔹 Entry: 3,373 – 3,380 (OB + FVG + Fib Premium)
🔻 Stop Loss: Above 3,381 (invalidate OB)
📉 Take Profit: 3,333 (Weak Low + Fib Completion)
⚖ RRR: ~1:4+ — high-confluence sniper setup
💬 Ninja Wisdom:
You're not trading random candles — you're trading intentional liquidity shifts.
This setup screams Smart Money footprint: OB rejection + inefficiency fill + premium pricing.
Be the sniper — not the trigger-happy retail trader. 🥷🎯
📍 Save this setup before it plays out — backtest and learn from it!
🔁 Drop your analysis below – agree or see it differently?
👣 Follow ChartNinjas88 for daily institutional-grade setups on Gold & more!
Trade closed: target reached
📍 Trade Update:✅ Clean sniper entry → Boom, TP hit! 💥
💰 Profit banked. Textbook execution.
🚀 Patience paid off — next setup cooking!
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.