XAUUSD – Bearish Momentum Builds Amid Risk-On Mood

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Gold continues to trade within a clearly defined descending channel, forming lower highs and leaving several Fair Value Gaps unfilled. After rebounding from the 3,238 USD support, price is now approaching key resistance near 3,297 USD — aligning with the main descending trendline.

If price fails to break above this resistance, a drop back toward the 3,238 USD support is likely, with a deeper target around 3,200 USD at the lower boundary of the channel.

Fundamentals currently support the bearish bias: improving US–China trade relations and rare earth agreements have triggered “risk-on” sentiment, pulling capital away from gold. Meanwhile, strong USD momentum is driven by robust Core PCE data and the Fed’s hawkish stance, showing no rush to cut rates.

Strategy outlook: Watch for price reaction at 3,297 USD. If bearish rejection occurs, short setups toward 3,238 USD and below could be considered.

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