Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar
Short
Updated

Gold (XAUUSD) – Lower TF Wave (B) Top in Place? Higher TF Conflu

106
⚠️ Price has now completed what appears to be a clean 5-wave advance into the key supply zone — potentially completing wave ((C)) of (B) on the lower timeframe.

• Wave ((ii)) = expanding flat
• Wave ((iv)) = expanding triangle
• Final ((v)) push into supply with RSI/MACD divergence

A breakdown below 3435 could confirm the reversal into wave (C). Downside fib targets align around 3400, 3350, and 3280.

A marginal high can’t be ruled out, but structure is now favouring bears short term.
Note
H4 Chart snapshot
🔍 Higher Timeframe Confluence (4H)

This entire move aligns with a larger W–X–Y correction, where wave (B) may now be complete.

We’re watching for confirmation of a wave (C) decline which may unfold impulsively or via a complex corrective structure (triangle or another W–X–Y).

Key levels to watch on HTF:
• 3280 – wave B support zone
• 3200 – channel support & fib alignment

Alternate structure (W–X–Y) could lead to further drop.
Trade active
Missed a label on previous chart snapshot
Note
📉 Gold (XAUUSD) – 1H Profile Update

snapshot

• Blue = session highs/lows
• Green line = previous day’s equilibrium (EQ)
• Price rejected from local supply and tapped into imbalance

📌 We may wick back into EQ (≈3413.19) before resuming the bearish move
🔻 Still watching for daily close below 3380.13 to confirm downside continuation



Note
Gold (XAUUSD) – Wave 2 Complete? Wave (iii) Setup Unfolding

snapshot
Following our earlier breakdown from the (B) wave high, price action unfolded into a clean 5-wave drop for wave (i), followed by a running flat correction that ended at 3403.23 for wave (ii).

We’re now monitoring the early stages of wave (iii) lower, with structure still aligning with the broader wave C decline toward downside targets.

🕵️ Eyes on 3382.78 for the next potential low.
⚠️ Invalidation above 3403.23.
Note
Gold – Flat Structure Unfolding?

snapshot
Price action suggests wave ii is forming a larger flat correction.
Wave C looks impulsive with micro i–ii–iii–iv–v forming toward the 3,416.74 zone.

🧭 Watching for exhaustion here — a clean rejection could mark the start of wave (iii) down.

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