🟦 XAUUSD Analysis – June 29, 2025
Market Structure:
Price is in a bearish trend on the 1H timeframe.
Liquidity is resting below a recent low around $3,240 (Sell-Side Liquidity – SSL).
There is a visible Order Block (OB) around $3,310–$3,320, which could act as a magnet if price reverses.
Anticipated Move (Blue Path):
1. Price is expected to drop below the SSL to trigger stop-losses and collect liquidity.
2. After the liquidity grab, a bullish reversal is likely.
3. Price may then rally toward the OB, which could act as resistance or a point for institutional selling.
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🔎 Probability Breakdown:
Event: Break below SSL (~$3,240)
Likelihood: ✅ High
Note: Classic liquidity grab setup
Event: Bullish reversal after sweep
Likelihood: ⚠️ Moderate–High
Note: Wait for confirmation (BOS, FVG, bullish candle)
Event: Rally to OB (~$3,310–$3,320)
Likelihood: ⚠️ Moderate
Note: Depends on bullish structure forming
Event: Rejection from OB
Likelihood: ✅ High
Note: OB may act as supply zone
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⚠️ Caution:
This scenario is only valid if price grabs SSL first.
No entry should be made without a proper bullish confirmation (e.g., break of structure, fair value gap fill, or strong bullish candle).
Always use risk management – this is a hypothetical setup, not financial advice.
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Market Structure:
Price is in a bearish trend on the 1H timeframe.
Liquidity is resting below a recent low around $3,240 (Sell-Side Liquidity – SSL).
There is a visible Order Block (OB) around $3,310–$3,320, which could act as a magnet if price reverses.
Anticipated Move (Blue Path):
1. Price is expected to drop below the SSL to trigger stop-losses and collect liquidity.
2. After the liquidity grab, a bullish reversal is likely.
3. Price may then rally toward the OB, which could act as resistance or a point for institutional selling.
---
🔎 Probability Breakdown:
Event: Break below SSL (~$3,240)
Likelihood: ✅ High
Note: Classic liquidity grab setup
Event: Bullish reversal after sweep
Likelihood: ⚠️ Moderate–High
Note: Wait for confirmation (BOS, FVG, bullish candle)
Event: Rally to OB (~$3,310–$3,320)
Likelihood: ⚠️ Moderate
Note: Depends on bullish structure forming
Event: Rejection from OB
Likelihood: ✅ High
Note: OB may act as supply zone
---
⚠️ Caution:
This scenario is only valid if price grabs SSL first.
No entry should be made without a proper bullish confirmation (e.g., break of structure, fair value gap fill, or strong bullish candle).
Always use risk management – this is a hypothetical setup, not financial advice.
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Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.