Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar
Long
Updated

XAUUSD Idea: 4H Trendline First Breakout - Liquidity Play

161
XAUUSD

🔍 Analysis Overview:
Price has just broken above a 4H descending trendline for the first time. However, I remain cautious due to the following key observations:

📌 NOTES:

The broader market sentiment is still bearish due to recent tariff-related news, which often fuels risk-off behavior.

Historically, the first breakout of a strong trendline often fails, trapping early buyers.

This breakout is likely attracting buy-side liquidity, giving institutions an opportunity to hunt stops.

My observation shows buying interest started around the 3308–3313 range, suggesting smart money accumulation and a possible trap.

📉 I'm watching for a fake breakout and potential reversal targeting the liquidity zones marked below around 3307 and possibly lower.
The liquidity sweep below equal lows could offer a better risk-reward setup.

💡 Conclusion:
If price fails to hold above this breakout and shows signs of rejection, I will be anticipating a return towards the previous demand zone for a liquidity grab.

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Order cancelled
Sorry I mentioned LONG!!!! It's for short !

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