Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar
Long
Updated

Gold Likely to Retrace Short-Term – Hot PPI Caps Gains

151
📊 Market Overview:
Gold is facing mild downward pressure after July’s US PPI rose 3.3% YoY, stronger than expected, reducing optimism for an aggressive 50 bps Fed rate cut next meeting. Safe-haven demand remains supported by geopolitical risks ahead of the Trump–Putin meeting, but Fed caution is capping further upside.

📉 Technical Analysis:
• Key Resistance: ~$3,370 (near-term), ~$3,400 (major)
• Nearest Support: ~$3,345 (near-term), ~$3,330–$3,340 (major)
• EMA 09: Price is currently below EMA 09, indicating a mild short-term bearish bias.
• Candlestick / Volume / Momentum: Current structure shows a mild retracement with steady volume; momentum softens as hot inflation data limits upside potential.

📌 Outlook:
Gold may continue easing in the short term if US economic data remains strong. A rebound above resistance could occur if rate-cut expectations revive or geopolitical tensions escalate.
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💡 Trade Strategy Suggestion:
🔻 SELL XAU/USD: $3,369–$3,372
🎯 TP: 40/80/200 pips
❌ SL: ~$3,375
🔺 BUY XAU/USD : $3,330–$3,333
🎯 TP: 40/80/200 pips
❌ SL: ~$3,327
Trade active
Gold is moving sideways between 3338–3348.

Buy if it breaks above 3348

Sell if it breaks below 3338
Avoid trading in the middle of the range to reduce risk.
Trade closed: target reached
If today’s Retail Sales data is strong, gold may drop to 3330 and further to 3320 if the figures far exceed expectations.

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