XAUUSD updates its ATH on the spot market to 3508.5 and forms a false breakout, provoking liquidation and profit-taking. The imbalance in the market is changing, and a deeper correction is possible...
Gold updated its historical maximum above $3500, but faced a correction amid a short-term strengthening of the dollar. The market's attention is focused on the US ISM Manufacturing PMI data, which may determine further dynamics.
Key drivers: The probability of a rate cut in September is estimated at 90%, which supports gold. Pressure on the USD continues due to concerns about the independence of the Fed (pressure from Trump) and geopolitics. The escalation of the Russia-Ukraine conflict (new strikes by the Armed Forces of Ukraine on Russian territory) is increasing demand for defensive assets.
Ahead of the ISM Manufacturing PMI: Forecast — growth to 49 (but remains in the contraction zone). If the data turns out to be weaker, it will strengthen dollar sales and push gold to new records.
Resistance levels: 3485, 3500
Support levels: 3467.6, 3441, 3423
Technically, gold may enter a longer consolidation or correction. If the bears keep the price below 3490-3485, then in the short term, we can expect a decline to the specified support zones. I do not rule out the possibility of a retest of 3500-3505, but at the moment I do not see the potential for the market to continue growing (in the short term!).
Best regards, R. Linda!
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🌹TRADING is a CASINO💔!?
NO‼️
Join me, I'll guide you to PROFITABLE TRADING💵!
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🟢Telegram Channel: t.me/RLindaTrade
🧿 Web: rlinda.com
🔴Contact: t.me/RLindaSignals
NO‼️
Join me, I'll guide you to PROFITABLE TRADING💵!
(don't copy, click on the links!)
🟢Telegram Channel: t.me/RLindaTrade
🧿 Web: rlinda.com
🔴Contact: t.me/RLindaSignals
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Disclaimer
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