📊 Market Overview:
Gold traded within a volatile range this past week, hovering between $3,360 and $3,385/oz. The U.S. dollar weakened on expectations that the Fed will maintain current interest rates in July, while persistent inflation concerns globally have kept gold supported. However, a geopolitical shock emerged late in the week: President Donald Trump announced readiness to deploy troops to the Middle East if Iran continues provocation, raising the possibility of serious military escalation.
📉 Technical Analysis:
•Key Resistance Levels: $3,387 – $3,403 (weekly highs), $3,450, and extended targets at $3,500–$3,520.
•Nearest Support: $3,358 – $3,365 (lower bound of the bullish channel), then $3,344 and $3,320.
•EMA09: Price remains above EMA 09, confirming a short-term uptrend on both 4H and daily charts.
•Chart Pattern: On the H4 chart, a Bullish Flag/Wedge Breakout is forming. A solid hold above $3,360 and breakout above $3,387 may trigger a strong upward move.
📌 Outlook:
Gold is likely to break higher next week if U.S.–Iran tensions escalate into direct conflict. Safe-haven demand could surge, driving gold toward $3,450 or even $3,500/oz.
On the other hand, if tensions ease and the U.S. dollar recovers on strong economic data, gold may pull back to $3,344–$3,320 before resuming any uptrend.
💡 Suggested Trading Strategy
🔺 BUY XAU/USD
Entry: $3,358–3,365
🎯 TP: $3,387 / $3,403 / $3,450
🛑 SL: $3,344
🟡 Enter on pullback to support — preferably if geopolitical tensions rise.
🔻 SELL XAU/USD
Entry: $3,400–3,410 (if price becomes overbought, RSI > 70)
🎯 TP: $3,380 / $3,365
🛑 SL: $3,420
🟡 Only apply this if tensions de-escalate and the U.S. dollar strengthens.
Gold traded within a volatile range this past week, hovering between $3,360 and $3,385/oz. The U.S. dollar weakened on expectations that the Fed will maintain current interest rates in July, while persistent inflation concerns globally have kept gold supported. However, a geopolitical shock emerged late in the week: President Donald Trump announced readiness to deploy troops to the Middle East if Iran continues provocation, raising the possibility of serious military escalation.
📉 Technical Analysis:
•Key Resistance Levels: $3,387 – $3,403 (weekly highs), $3,450, and extended targets at $3,500–$3,520.
•Nearest Support: $3,358 – $3,365 (lower bound of the bullish channel), then $3,344 and $3,320.
•EMA09: Price remains above EMA 09, confirming a short-term uptrend on both 4H and daily charts.
•Chart Pattern: On the H4 chart, a Bullish Flag/Wedge Breakout is forming. A solid hold above $3,360 and breakout above $3,387 may trigger a strong upward move.
📌 Outlook:
Gold is likely to break higher next week if U.S.–Iran tensions escalate into direct conflict. Safe-haven demand could surge, driving gold toward $3,450 or even $3,500/oz.
On the other hand, if tensions ease and the U.S. dollar recovers on strong economic data, gold may pull back to $3,344–$3,320 before resuming any uptrend.
💡 Suggested Trading Strategy
🔺 BUY XAU/USD
Entry: $3,358–3,365
🎯 TP: $3,387 / $3,403 / $3,450
🛑 SL: $3,344
🟡 Enter on pullback to support — preferably if geopolitical tensions rise.
🔻 SELL XAU/USD
Entry: $3,400–3,410 (if price becomes overbought, RSI > 70)
🎯 TP: $3,380 / $3,365
🛑 SL: $3,420
🟡 Only apply this if tensions de-escalate and the U.S. dollar strengthens.
Trade active
active signal SELLTrade closed: target reached
Gold Drops Sharply After Reaching 3389
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Disclaimer
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📊 Forex | Gold | Crypto Market Insights & Signals
📰 Real-time news updates & expert analysis
📈 Daily Buy/Sell signals for investors
💡 Technical breakdowns & market outlooks
🔗 Join our free group: t.me/+DmS-dVFJMm40MDM9
📰 Real-time news updates & expert analysis
📈 Daily Buy/Sell signals for investors
💡 Technical breakdowns & market outlooks
🔗 Join our free group: t.me/+DmS-dVFJMm40MDM9
Related publications
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.