XAU/USD 03 March 2025 Intraday Analysis

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H4 Analysis:

-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.

Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 28 February 2025.

Price has printed a bearish iBOS as per alternative scenario mentioned over the last few weeks.

Price is now trading within an internal high and fractal low.

Bullish CHoCH positioning is marked with a blue dotted line.

Intraday Expectation:

Await for price to indicate bullish pullback phase initiation by printing a bullish CHoCH.

Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.

Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.

H4 Chart: snapshot

M15 Analysis:

-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.

As mentioned in my analysis dated 28 February 2025, whereby price printed a bullish CHoCH but stated I would continue to monitor price.

On this occasion I have marked the previous bullish CHoCH in red as price did not pull back deeply enough to warrant internal structure breaks, additionally, there was minimal time spent .

Price has printed a further bullish CHoCH which is now confirmed. Price is not trading within an established internal range.

Intraday Expectation:

Price to continue bullish, react at either premium of internal 50% EQ, or M15 supply zone before targeting weak internal low priced at 2,832.720.

Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.

M15 Chart: snapshot

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