Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar
Short

XAUUSD Is the pull-back completed?

599
Almost 10 days ago we made a bold (at the time) bearish call (see chart below) for a short-term pull-back on Gold (XAUUSD) towards the 1W MA50:

XAUUSD High chances for a short-term pull-back.


The yellow metal has so far responded positively to this call as it dropped below the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) to 1945. The Channel Down pattern that emerged is using the 4H MA50 as its Resistance/ Lower Highs trend-line and until it breaks, we should be expecting a continuation. Oversold 4H RSI readings will always give technical bounces like yesterday's but as long as the 4H MA50 holds, it is more likely to see Gold test the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) on the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level at 1933. If the 4H MA50 does break and closes a candle above it, we will buy and target 1995.

Notice how the Channel Down pull-back is similar to the declines of July - August, May and April. The 4H MA50 served as the Resistance and in the case of April, it did test the 4H MA200.

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