Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar
Long
Updated

Gold (XAUUSD) – Demand Zone Holding, Silver Leading Breakout

305
Gold has respected its demand zone near $3,367–$3,382 and is attempting to bounce higher. Importantly, Silver (XAGUSD in pink overlay) is leading the upside move, having broken out cleanly above $37.00 and still climbing. This confirms the bullish momentum across precious metals.

Geopolitical tensions, dovish Fed commentary, and risk-off market conditions continue to favor a move toward $3,451, $3,471, and possibly $3,495.

🔍 Technical Breakdown (4H)
Support Zone: $3,367–$3,382 (retest of broken resistance)

Bullish Structure: Rising lows, trendline holds, and higher timeframe support remains intact

Projected Targets:

🎯 TP1: $3,451 (recent high)

🎯 TP2: $3,471 (key extension)

🎯 TP3: $3,495 (top of range)

Stop Loss: Below $3,351 (invalidates demand structure)

🪙 Silver (XAGUSD) Overlay Insight:

Currently at $37.11+, showing leadership in the breakout.

Suggests gold will likely follow through — watch for Gold catching up.

🧠 Macro & Fundamental Context (June 17)
Bullish Drivers:

🔥 Ongoing Middle East war escalation (Iran-Israel, US troop buildup)

🏦 Dovish Fed tone, soft retail sales, rate cuts expected from Sept

🧾 Silver strength confirming demand across metals

Risks:

☮️ Unexpected ceasefire headlines could cause knee-jerk pullbacks

📈 Hot inflation data or hawkish Fed rhetoric could pressure upside

📅 Key Events to Watch:
FOMC members' speeches this week

US Core PCE inflation print

War headline velocity — particularly involving shipping or direct US-Iran confrontation

🧭 Strategy Suggestion:
Tactical Buy on Rejection Wick from current demand zone

Watch Silver momentum — if it breaks $37.50+, gold likely catches up fast

Consider scaling out around $3,451–$3,471 with final target near $3,495
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