✅ Fundamental Analysis
Friday’s Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) data came in significantly below expectations, with new job additions falling far short of market forecasts. This sparked a sharp rise in expectations for a Fed rate cut later this year. As a result, the U.S. dollar index declined and gold prices surged violently, rallying from the 3281 level to a high of 3362 — a single-day gain of over $85, completely erasing the week's prior losses and reestablishing a strong bullish structure.
✅ Technical Analysis
📊 Weekly Chart
Gold posted a strong bullish weekly candlestick, reversing the previous consolidation trend and signaling a structural shift in market sentiment. Bulls have regained full control. The key resistance zone lies between 3380–3400; if price breaks and holds above this level, the next upside target will be around 3430.
📊 Daily Chart
Gold stabilized at the 3281 low and surged on Friday evening following the NFP surprise, closing near the day’s high — a sign of aggressive buying. The short-term trend has clearly reversed to the upside, and any pullback is now considered a buying opportunity. The key support has moved up to around 3335, serving as a critical pivot zone. Further support is seen near 3316, a previous swing low.
📊 Hourly Chart
Price is currently trading above short-term moving averages, indicating a strong bullish bias. The key level for a potential bullish continuation is around 3355, which represents a recent support-turned-resistance area. If price pulls back to this level and holds, or breaks above it directly, it will confirm bullish strength. If gold opens with a gap higher toward 3385, beware of potential short-term volatility due to a liquidity gap. Chasing highs in such scenarios requires caution.
🔴 Resistance Levels: 3375–3380 / 3400–3430
🟢 Support Levels: 3355–3340 / 3330–3335 / 3316
✅ Trading Strategy Reference
🔺 Primary Strategy – Buy on Dips:
🔰Consider long entries around 3340–3335, with a stop-loss below 3328.
🔰If the market remains strong, a direct long near 3355 is viable, targeting 3375 and above.
🔰A deeper pullback to 3330–3335 is a favorable entry zone for mid-term longs.
🔻 Secondary Strategy – Sell on Rebounds (Short-Term Only):
🔰If gold opens Monday with a sharp spike to around 3385 but fails to break higher, a light short position may be considered, targeting a quick $10–$15 pullback.
🔰If 3385 is broken and held, abandon short setups and revert to a bullish view.
✅ Overall Outlook
Gold has completed a technical reversal following the bullish fundamental catalyst from the NFP data. The trend has shifted from bearish to bullish, and the market has clearly moved into a higher price range. The core trading logic should remain “buy on dips”, and countertrend trades should be approached with caution. Look for long opportunities near key support levels, and consider short positions only at major resistance levels and for quick intraday trades. A confirmed breakout above 3375 will likely open the door to 3400–3430 in the near term
Friday’s Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) data came in significantly below expectations, with new job additions falling far short of market forecasts. This sparked a sharp rise in expectations for a Fed rate cut later this year. As a result, the U.S. dollar index declined and gold prices surged violently, rallying from the 3281 level to a high of 3362 — a single-day gain of over $85, completely erasing the week's prior losses and reestablishing a strong bullish structure.
✅ Technical Analysis
📊 Weekly Chart
Gold posted a strong bullish weekly candlestick, reversing the previous consolidation trend and signaling a structural shift in market sentiment. Bulls have regained full control. The key resistance zone lies between 3380–3400; if price breaks and holds above this level, the next upside target will be around 3430.
📊 Daily Chart
Gold stabilized at the 3281 low and surged on Friday evening following the NFP surprise, closing near the day’s high — a sign of aggressive buying. The short-term trend has clearly reversed to the upside, and any pullback is now considered a buying opportunity. The key support has moved up to around 3335, serving as a critical pivot zone. Further support is seen near 3316, a previous swing low.
📊 Hourly Chart
Price is currently trading above short-term moving averages, indicating a strong bullish bias. The key level for a potential bullish continuation is around 3355, which represents a recent support-turned-resistance area. If price pulls back to this level and holds, or breaks above it directly, it will confirm bullish strength. If gold opens with a gap higher toward 3385, beware of potential short-term volatility due to a liquidity gap. Chasing highs in such scenarios requires caution.
🔴 Resistance Levels: 3375–3380 / 3400–3430
🟢 Support Levels: 3355–3340 / 3330–3335 / 3316
✅ Trading Strategy Reference
🔺 Primary Strategy – Buy on Dips:
🔰Consider long entries around 3340–3335, with a stop-loss below 3328.
🔰If the market remains strong, a direct long near 3355 is viable, targeting 3375 and above.
🔰A deeper pullback to 3330–3335 is a favorable entry zone for mid-term longs.
🔻 Secondary Strategy – Sell on Rebounds (Short-Term Only):
🔰If gold opens Monday with a sharp spike to around 3385 but fails to break higher, a light short position may be considered, targeting a quick $10–$15 pullback.
🔰If 3385 is broken and held, abandon short setups and revert to a bullish view.
✅ Overall Outlook
Gold has completed a technical reversal following the bullish fundamental catalyst from the NFP data. The trend has shifted from bearish to bullish, and the market has clearly moved into a higher price range. The core trading logic should remain “buy on dips”, and countertrend trades should be approached with caution. Look for long opportunities near key support levels, and consider short positions only at major resistance levels and for quick intraday trades. A confirmed breakout above 3375 will likely open the door to 3400–3430 in the near term
✅𝐃𝐚𝐢𝐥𝐲 𝟐-𝟒 𝐓𝐫𝐚𝐝𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐒𝐢𝐠𝐧𝐚𝐥𝐬🔥
✅𝐇𝐢𝐠𝐡 𝐀𝐜𝐜𝐮𝐫𝐚𝐜𝐲 𝟗𝟎%-𝟗𝟓% 🔥
✅𝐖𝐞𝐞𝐤𝐥𝐲 𝐲𝐢𝐞𝐥𝐝 𝟔𝟎%-𝟖𝟓%🔥
👉Free Channel：t.me/+bMC4JZq68qlhM2Q9
✉️VIP Guidance : t.me/Jack_blackwell
✅𝐇𝐢𝐠𝐡 𝐀𝐜𝐜𝐮𝐫𝐚𝐜𝐲 𝟗𝟎%-𝟗𝟓% 🔥
✅𝐖𝐞𝐞𝐤𝐥𝐲 𝐲𝐢𝐞𝐥𝐝 𝟔𝟎%-𝟖𝟓%🔥
👉Free Channel：t.me/+bMC4JZq68qlhM2Q9
✉️VIP Guidance : t.me/Jack_blackwell
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
✅𝐃𝐚𝐢𝐥𝐲 𝟐-𝟒 𝐓𝐫𝐚𝐝𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐒𝐢𝐠𝐧𝐚𝐥𝐬🔥
✅𝐇𝐢𝐠𝐡 𝐀𝐜𝐜𝐮𝐫𝐚𝐜𝐲 𝟗𝟎%-𝟗𝟓% 🔥
✅𝐖𝐞𝐞𝐤𝐥𝐲 𝐲𝐢𝐞𝐥𝐝 𝟔𝟎%-𝟖𝟓%🔥
👉Free Channel：t.me/+bMC4JZq68qlhM2Q9
✉️VIP Guidance : t.me/Jack_blackwell
✅𝐇𝐢𝐠𝐡 𝐀𝐜𝐜𝐮𝐫𝐚𝐜𝐲 𝟗𝟎%-𝟗𝟓% 🔥
✅𝐖𝐞𝐞𝐤𝐥𝐲 𝐲𝐢𝐞𝐥𝐝 𝟔𝟎%-𝟖𝟓%🔥
👉Free Channel：t.me/+bMC4JZq68qlhM2Q9
✉️VIP Guidance : t.me/Jack_blackwell
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.