Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar
Long
Updated

Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD Plan for June 25, 2025

95
🌀 Elliott Wave Structure

Looking at the H1 chart, we can see a 5-wave black triangle structure has formed within wave Y. This suggests two possible scenarios:

Scenario 1: Wave Y has completed → the current upward move is wave 1 of a new 5-wave green structure. The ongoing pullback would then be wave 2 of this sequence.

Scenario 2: Wave A of wave Y has completed as a 5-wave move → we are now in wave B of wave Y, which typically forms a 3-wave pattern. In this case, wave a (black) has formed and wave b (black) is currently developing.

✅ In both scenarios, the ongoing decline is a shared element — representing a buying opportunity.

🎯 Key Target Zones

Target 1: 3313 – 3310

Target 2: 3301

⚠️ If price breaks below 3297, the current wave count is invalidated, and we must prepare for a deeper correction. Updates will follow if that happens.

🔁 Momentum Outlook

D1 Timeframe:
Momentum is about to reverse upward. We expect at least 5–6 days of bullish movement for D1 momentum to reach overbought territory ⇒ This supports a potential short-term uptrend and favors both bullish wave counts.

H4 Timeframe:
Momentum is about to reverse downward from the overbought zone → A further decline to our buy zones is likely.

H1 Timeframe:
Momentum is currently declining → The ongoing pullback is expected to continue.
📌 What to wait for: A bullish reversal in H1 momentum aligned with H4 in the oversold region will confirm the bottom is in.

✅ Trade Plan

🔹 BUY ZONE 1: 3313 – 3310
• SL: 3306
• TP1: 3335 | TP2: 3350 | TP3: 3376

🔹 BUY ZONE 2: 3303 – 3301
• SL: 3296
• TP1: 3335 | TP2: 3363 | TP3: 3376
Trade active
+100 pips Entry Buy 3313 - 3310
snapshot
Trade closed: target reached
+180 pips Buy 3313 - 3310
snapshot
Note
+300 Pips Buy 3313 - 3310
snapshot

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