Hey team!
Hope you’re staying sharp as we close out this NFP week. Here’s your Daily Outlook for XAUUSD — built from clean structure, supply/demand logic, and current price action.
📍 Bias: Neutral → leaning bearish while inside premium rejection zone
🔹 1. 🔍 Daily Structure Overview
Recent CHoCH down after failing to break above the weak high at ~3395.
Price is reacting from premium supply and has now tapped a daily FVG near 3315.
We're in a mid-premium rejection area, with multiple rejections from the 3350–3395 zone.
🔹 2. 📐 Key Daily Zones
Zone Type Price Range Notes
🔼 Premium Supply Trap 3350 – 3395 Weak high, CHoCH zone, FVG, supply OB
🔽 Retracement Demand 3278 – 3262 Clean OB + imbalance zone (FVG)
🔽 Mid-Demand Range 3172 – 3140 Breaker block + daily wick base
🔽 Deep Demand (Discount) 2950 – 3020 Full retracement zone from last BOS
🔹 3. 📊 EMA Context (Daily)
EMA 5/21 cross locked bullish — but starting to curl as momentum slows.
Price is testing EMA21 from above; breakdown below it could invite further retracement.
All EMAs still stacked bullish, but showing early signs of cool-off.
🔹 4. 🔢 Fibonacci Swing
Swing used: 3245 (swing low) → 3395 (current top)
Price is now below 38.2% retracement (~3335)
50% = 3320, 61.8% = 3300 → high confluence in this cluster for potential bounce or breakdown decision.
🔹 5. 📉 RSI Check
RSI diverging slightly from highs → bearish divergence forming
Currently near 58 → leaves room for downside without being oversold
🔹 6. 🌍 Macro Context
NFP Report just released
→ Mixed numbers: NFP weak, unemployment up = mildly bullish gold
CPI incoming – key for inflation outlook and Fed tone
Market uncertain → risk-off flows could favor gold, but rejection from premium likely before CPI clarity
⚔️ Scenarios for June 9 Start
🔽 Bearish Plan (likely early-week setup)
Rejection from 3335–3350 → short trigger zone
TP1 = 3278
TP2 = 3172–3140 (if momentum extends)
🔼 Bullish Continuation
Clean reclaim of 3350 and 3395 breakout → flip into aggressive bullish continuation
Target = 3450–3500 FVG above current ATH
✅ GoldFxMinds Final Note
We’re in the heart of the premium trap — don’t buy blindly into strength. Let price show intent.
⚠️ This week may be a pre-CPI fakeout zone — stay patient, let the structure guide you.
📣 If you’re watching this with us — drop your thoughts in the comments. Are we heading to 3170 first or flipping 3395 clean?
Let’s crush the week,
— GoldFxMinds 💡
Hope you’re staying sharp as we close out this NFP week. Here’s your Daily Outlook for XAUUSD — built from clean structure, supply/demand logic, and current price action.
📍 Bias: Neutral → leaning bearish while inside premium rejection zone
🔹 1. 🔍 Daily Structure Overview
Recent CHoCH down after failing to break above the weak high at ~3395.
Price is reacting from premium supply and has now tapped a daily FVG near 3315.
We're in a mid-premium rejection area, with multiple rejections from the 3350–3395 zone.
🔹 2. 📐 Key Daily Zones
Zone Type Price Range Notes
🔼 Premium Supply Trap 3350 – 3395 Weak high, CHoCH zone, FVG, supply OB
🔽 Retracement Demand 3278 – 3262 Clean OB + imbalance zone (FVG)
🔽 Mid-Demand Range 3172 – 3140 Breaker block + daily wick base
🔽 Deep Demand (Discount) 2950 – 3020 Full retracement zone from last BOS
🔹 3. 📊 EMA Context (Daily)
EMA 5/21 cross locked bullish — but starting to curl as momentum slows.
Price is testing EMA21 from above; breakdown below it could invite further retracement.
All EMAs still stacked bullish, but showing early signs of cool-off.
🔹 4. 🔢 Fibonacci Swing
Swing used: 3245 (swing low) → 3395 (current top)
Price is now below 38.2% retracement (~3335)
50% = 3320, 61.8% = 3300 → high confluence in this cluster for potential bounce or breakdown decision.
🔹 5. 📉 RSI Check
RSI diverging slightly from highs → bearish divergence forming
Currently near 58 → leaves room for downside without being oversold
🔹 6. 🌍 Macro Context
NFP Report just released
→ Mixed numbers: NFP weak, unemployment up = mildly bullish gold
CPI incoming – key for inflation outlook and Fed tone
Market uncertain → risk-off flows could favor gold, but rejection from premium likely before CPI clarity
⚔️ Scenarios for June 9 Start
🔽 Bearish Plan (likely early-week setup)
Rejection from 3335–3350 → short trigger zone
TP1 = 3278
TP2 = 3172–3140 (if momentum extends)
🔼 Bullish Continuation
Clean reclaim of 3350 and 3395 breakout → flip into aggressive bullish continuation
Target = 3450–3500 FVG above current ATH
✅ GoldFxMinds Final Note
We’re in the heart of the premium trap — don’t buy blindly into strength. Let price show intent.
⚠️ This week may be a pre-CPI fakeout zone — stay patient, let the structure guide you.
📣 If you’re watching this with us — drop your thoughts in the comments. Are we heading to 3170 first or flipping 3395 clean?
Let’s crush the week,
— GoldFxMinds 💡
GoldFxMinds | XAUUSD Sniper Plans, Structure-Driven Bias & Execution Clarity
Free: t.me/GoldMindsFX_AI
VIP: t.me/GoldMindsFX_A
1-on-1 Coaching: t.me/GoldFxMinds
Free: t.me/GoldMindsFX_AI
VIP: t.me/GoldMindsFX_A
1-on-1 Coaching: t.me/GoldFxMinds
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
GoldFxMinds | XAUUSD Sniper Plans, Structure-Driven Bias & Execution Clarity
Free: t.me/GoldMindsFX_AI
VIP: t.me/GoldMindsFX_A
1-on-1 Coaching: t.me/GoldFxMinds
Free: t.me/GoldMindsFX_AI
VIP: t.me/GoldMindsFX_A
1-on-1 Coaching: t.me/GoldFxMinds
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.