Gold - DAILY- 21.07.2025

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Gold held steady near $3,350 an ounce as markets opened Monday, with traders assessing mixed signals from Federal Reserve officials on the inflation impact of Trump’s tariff plans. Some Fed governors, like Waller and Bowman, signaled openness to rate cuts, while others remain cautious due to inflation risks. Trump continues pressuring the Fed to lower rates, with speculation about replacing Chair Jerome Powell. Meanwhile, EU officials are preparing for potential trade fallout as Trump’s Aug. 1 tariff deadline approaches. Gold is up over 25% this year, driven by geopolitical tensions and demand for safe-haven assets.

From a technical point of view, the price of gold found sufficient support on the 38.2% of the weekly Fibonacci retracement level and is currently testing the resistance on the 50% around $3,355. The moving averages are confirming the overall bullish trend in the market, while at the same time, the Stochastic oscillator is near the extreme overbought level, hinting at a potential bearish correction move in the upcoming sessions. The Bollinger bands are quite expanded, showing that volatility is there to support any short-term move to either side, while the level around $3,380 is the first major technical resistance area consisting of the upper band of the Bollinger bands and the 61.% of the weekly Fibonacci retracement level.

Disclaimer: The opinions in this article are personal to the writer and do not reflect those of Exness

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